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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 07:40 AM
  #1816  
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Originally Posted by Bob04
I've seen a lot of clickbait over the past year about the car market crashing due to supply demand. Car lots around here are definitely starting to fill up and even overflow. Might actually happen this time.
I take everything I read with a grain of salt. I don't think we are in for a crash, but it looks like we are heading back to a buyers market where full negotiations with the dealership will be back
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 08:31 AM
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Originally Posted by AJT123
https://www.autoblog.com/2024/02/22/...atQ_fIsIOom7x4

I knew this would happen and was told I was basically crazy when I called it years ago. MB is just the first to go back on the 2030 goal.

STUTTGART — Mercedes-Benz on Thursday toned down expectations on EV demand and said it will update its combustion engine lineup well into next decade, becoming the latest carmaker to flag a slower than expected appetite for electric cars.

The company, which has been preparing for all-electric sales by 2030, said it now expects electrified sales — including hybrids — to account for up to 50% of the total by that date.

CEO Ola Kaellenius cautioned towards the end of last year that even Europe would likely not be ready by 2030 for an all-electric lineup, with multiple studies showing customers were holding back for a range of reasons including a lack of charging infrastructure and appealing electric models.

Kaellenius said Mercedes-Benz wanted customers and investors to know it was well-positioned to carry on producing combustion engine cars and was ready to update the technology well into next decade.
This isn't a "people were telling me I'm crazy" thing, Mercedes were telling you that. That was their official public position on the transition.

Regardless, I smell a slight rat here. If Mercedes were actually getting ready for an ICE-only transition by 2030, they would have probably already passed the point of no return. Development cycles and production cycles are long, and had they been all in on EV powertrains up to this point there's almost no turning back as they would have had more compelling EV models in development at the expense of ICE models and in particular ICE powertrains - and it's hard to pivot, even with five years or so to go. So they weren't actually where they felt they needed to be, IMO.

Upshot is the problem MB is facing isn't necessarily a lack of demand, it's probably a lack of their own readiness. My own somewhat educated guess is that they are behind where they need to be in the EV transition cycle to make the 2030 pledge a reality and the current noise about EV demand provides a convenient opportunity to blame the market rather than their own lack of readiness. If EV sales go where I think they will go over the next few years it would not surprise me at all to see MB pivot right back.

TLDR - it's their own readiness and not the EV market that's actually behind this,

Last edited by swajames; Feb 23, 2024 at 02:53 PM.
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 11:39 AM
  #1818  
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EV stocks are taking a crotch kicking.
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 12:58 PM
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I was talking to a few people who I sent Tesla referrals to see how far along they are in executing....Tesla is offering 10x credits to any referral who places an order by March 1st. Problem is, they are waiting for Juniper 😳. I suspect there are a lot of buyers out there holding out

"EV stocks are taking a crotch kicking"

And meantime, NVIDIA just keeps climbing
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 01:27 PM
  #1820  
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Originally Posted by swajames
This isn't a "people were telling me I'm crazy" thing, Mercedes were telling you that. That was their official public position on the transition.
this,
Wrong. I knew that was a pipe dream, wasn’t ever gonna happen. Looks like I was correct.

It’s people on here that were telling me that ICEs are done on MB within a few years and certainly by 2030, lmao. I laughed at that too.
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 01:42 PM
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Originally Posted by AJT123
Wrong. I knew that was a pipe dream, wasn’t ever gonna happen. Looks like I was correct.

It’s people on here that were telling me that ICEs are done on MB within a few years and certainly by 2030, lmao. I laughed at that too.
ICE are done, just not by 2030, which is just an arbitrary number thrown out there. Companies that are doing it right like Hyundai/Kia, BMW and of course Tesla are doubling down. EV adoption has climbed, not declined. So you are correct when you predicted a pull back, but that pull back is only temporary because you can't jump from ICE to EV overnight, especially when your EV's are not profitable yet, and infrastructure is lacking (but growing). Even Toyota/Lexus is shifting over, Hybrids are their best sellers. The numbers are all there, the writings on the wall

No matter how you slice it:


https://www.canarymedia.com/articles...d-setting-year

Last edited by AMIRZA786; Feb 23, 2024 at 01:50 PM.
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 01:53 PM
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
And meantime, NVIDIA just keeps climbing
I bought 18 shares when it was at $460-ish back then a whisper in my ear said NVDA is going to $1,000. I couldn't bring myself to buy with margin because I'm a chicken. Nvidia's earnings per share is more than double Tesla so I suppose the stock price is justified.
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 01:59 PM
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Originally Posted by LeX2K
I bought 18 shares when it was at $460-ish back then a whisper in my ear said NVDA is going to $1,000. I couldn't bring myself to buy with margin because I'm a chicken. Nvidia's earnings per share is more than double Tesla so I suppose the stock price is justified.
I almost bought some NVIDIA yesterday, but than it shot up $100 . I'll get in at some point, I'm told it still bullish and has a ways to go
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 02:19 PM
  #1824  
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I get gun shy when a stock goes up this quickly but the only way it does is when people buy en masse. No matter how irrational I know it is, I still get mad at myself for not being able to predict things.
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 02:19 PM
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https://www.reuters.com/business/aut...te-2024-02-22/

STUTTGART, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Mercedes-Benz on Thursday delayed its electrification goal by five years and assured investors it would keep sprucing up its combustion engine models, becoming the latest carmaker to flag a weaker-than-expected appetite for battery-powered cars.

The company now expects sales of electrified vehicles, including hybrids, to account for up to 50% of the total by 2030 - five years later than its forecast from 2021, when it aimed to hit the 50% milestone by 2025 with mostly all-electric cars..


It’s this that I saw coming years ago. Other brands will follow suit, watch.

They won’t be selling 50% hybrids by then either, they’ll go back on it as well.
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 02:27 PM
  #1826  
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Originally Posted by AJT123
https://www.reuters.com/business/aut...te-2024-02-22/

It’s this that I saw coming years ago.
You understand, the keyword is "Delayed electrification". Nothing about "Stop or reverse electrification". Quote from the article:

"Slower economic growth, supply chain bottlenecks, and trade tensions between China and both the U.S. and European Union also weighed on Mercedes-Benz's outlook for 2024, the carmaker said, forecasting lower returns on sales across its car and van division"

It's expensive building factories, setting up supply chains, getting access to battery materials etc. This only tells me like @swajames stated earlier that they are just not there yet. EV's are negative revenue on their books, and with the problems listed above, it only makes sense that that they slow down or pause more investments in this direction. And lower returns from all their car lines is just making things worse
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 02:37 PM
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Originally Posted by AJT123
https://www.reuters.com/business/aut...te-2024-02-22/

STUTTGART, Feb 22 (Reuters) - Mercedes-Benz on Thursday delayed its electrification goal by five years and assured investors it would keep sprucing up its combustion engine models, becoming the latest carmaker to flag a weaker-than-expected appetite for battery-powered cars.

The company now expects sales of electrified vehicles, including hybrids, to account for up to 50% of the total by 2030 - five years later than its forecast from 2021, when it aimed to hit the 50% milestone by 2025 with mostly all-electric cars..


It’s this that I saw coming years ago. Other brands will follow suit, watch.

They won’t be selling 50% hybrids by then either, they’ll go back on it as well.
Where's your data on this? Hybrids are Toyota/Lexuses best selling vehicles, then hybrid buyers are switching to EV's, this is just a fact backed up by sales numbers. You're telling me EV adoption jumps, then suddenly tanks? Seriously? I remember this is a similar argument Blackberry owners made when they were convinced that the iPhone was only temporary hype that would die off.

I would bet you every cent I had that you are dead wrong, but I don't gamble, unless it involves stocks
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Old Feb 23, 2024 | 02:41 PM
  #1828  
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Tesla and the Chinese auto makers are not going to stop, delaying from the likes of Mercedes seems like playing with fire to me.
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Old Feb 24, 2024 | 01:39 AM
  #1829  
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ugh, I agree with statements that MB is simply shifting blame to consumers for their lackluster EQ line. If they actually produced good looking EVs that weren't basically the same vehicle in 3 lengths, Im sure they would have more adopters.
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Old Feb 24, 2024 | 09:49 AM
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Originally Posted by RXSF
ugh, I agree with statements that MB is simply shifting blame to consumers for their lackluster EQ line. If they actually produced good looking EVs that weren't basically the same vehicle in 3 lengths, Im sure they would have more adopters.
Remember when the EQS was first posted in Car Chat in 2022? People were comparing it's looks to a Civic. It's bubble shape is just not appealing to MB customers
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