Notices
Car Chat General discussion about Lexus, other auto manufacturers and automotive news.
Sponsored by:
Sponsored by: Innova

General EV Conversation

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 05:15 AM
  #2476  
AMIRZA786's Avatar
AMIRZA786
Lexus Champion
5 Year Member
Photogenic
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2019
Posts: 19,847
Likes: 3,806
From: California
Default

Originally Posted by asj2024
I have my doubts as well about battery replacement costs dropping that much.

On the Prius, a vehicle that has been here for decades and sold millions in total, battery replacement costs are still around $1000, and this is for a pack that is 70x smaller than the huge batteries on BEVs.(only 1.3 kwh on these HEVs vs the 70+ kwh of BEVs)
$1000 is cheap. It used to be $10k. My brother had his Sienna engine changed....$4k. I don't think any price would satisfy you guys quite frankly
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 05:22 AM
  #2477  
asj2024's Avatar
asj2024
Advanced
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Feb 2024
Posts: 558
Likes: 131
From: NJ/FL
Default

Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
$1000 is cheap. It used to be $10k. My brother had his Sienna engine changed....$4k. I don't think any price would satisfy you guys quite frankly
My point is a battery that is 70x larger might not ever go to even $1k replacement cost in decades.

And that $1k is for the cheapest possible, normally I think it's still $1.5k to $2k....i really should start researching this as my own battery might need help soon.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 05:30 AM
  #2478  
AJT123's Avatar
AJT123
Lexus Champion
10 Year Member
Community Influencer
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 17,260
Likes: 542
From: Knoxville, TN
Default

Originally Posted by Bob04
Would you feel comfortable a 12.5 year old EV on the original battery with no warranty?
Worth pointing out that absolutely nobody has directly answered this question.....

I think we know what my answer would be so that's all I'll say.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 05:34 AM
  #2479  
AMIRZA786's Avatar
AMIRZA786
Lexus Champion
5 Year Member
Photogenic
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2019
Posts: 19,847
Likes: 3,806
From: California
Default

Originally Posted by asj2024
My point is a battery that is 70x larger might not ever go to even $1k replacement cost in decades.

And that $1k is for the cheapest possible, normally I think it's still $1.5k to $2k....i really should start researching this as my own battery might need help soon.
If you spend $10k on a battery pack and can get another 200k out of it, it's worth every single penny. If you spend $2k and get another 10 years out of your Prius, it's worth every single penny in my estimation
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 05:36 AM
  #2480  
AMIRZA786's Avatar
AMIRZA786
Lexus Champion
5 Year Member
Photogenic
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2019
Posts: 19,847
Likes: 3,806
From: California
Default

Originally Posted by AJT123
Worth pointing out that absolutely nobody has directly answered this question.....

I think we know what my answer would be so that's all I'll say.
I did. I wouldn't buy a 12 year old gas car or a 12 year old EV. Does that qualify as question directly answered? I hope so because I don't know any other way to phrase it

Last edited by AMIRZA786; Mar 22, 2024 at 05:50 AM.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 05:54 AM
  #2481  
Allen K's Avatar
Allen K
-0----0-
CL Folding 25,000
15 Year Member
Liked
Community Favorite
iTrader: (4)
 
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 10,238
Likes: 1,203
From: NJ
Default

I also have no interest in buying a used car over 5 years.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:05 AM
  #2482  
AJT123's Avatar
AJT123
Lexus Champion
10 Year Member
Community Influencer
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 17,260
Likes: 542
From: Knoxville, TN
Default

Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
I did. I wouldn't buy a 12 year old gas car or a 12 year old EV. Does that qualify as question directly answered? I hope so because I don't know any other way to phrase it
No, it doesn't, because you didn't answer the question.. You said if it was cheap you'd do it. Not the same thing.

Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
"but if I knew I could change a battery pack for a decent price, I might consider it "
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:16 AM
  #2483  
SW17LS's Avatar
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
Active Streak: 60 Days
Loved
Community Favorite
Top Answer: 1
 
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 69,027
Likes: 4,152
From: Maryland
Default

Originally Posted by Bob04
Maybe. Maybe not. We will see. Cheaper replacement batteries could alleviate some of that concern, but there is a reason the battery warranty is still around 8 years for most EVs. Time is the enemy. After that, you could end up with a huge expense that would likely be more than the cars worth. Or you could drive for another 5 years until the battery dies. If enough people have bad experiences, it will have an impact. 3 years old is the oldest I would even consider.
The warranty on my Lexuses was over in 4 years 50,000 miles, which is way less than that EV warranty. Does that mean that those cars will have massive failures after that time? The warranty and the total lifespan of the product are two different things, you know that
Originally Posted by BayeauxLex
They still make good gas cars imo. I, like some others, still like to row gears There’s also some sweet sounding & shifting automatic cars out there. Those are a few things you can’t get from a BEV.
Extremely few people want to row gears lol.

Nobody is saying there will be NO ICE cars, its just going to be much more limited while most cars are EVs.

Most people aren't car enthusiasts and a car is just transportation to them with some style and status thrown in.

Originally Posted by Bob04
Would you buy a 12.5 year old EV on the original battery with no warranty?
Originally Posted by AJT123
Worth pointing out that absolutely nobody has directly answered this question.....

I think we know what my answer would be so that's all I'll say.
I would not buy any 12.5 year old car, and I wouldn't own any complex car without a warranty. I would not own an old LS or S Class or any other high end car without a warranty and just paid $3,100 to warranty my S Class through 75,000 miles.

If I were to buy a 12.5 year old car, honestly I would buy an EV and not worry about it. If the battery went bad and the cost to repair it was too great, I would sell it and buy another one. A 12 year old car would be totally disposable to me, ICE or EV.
Reply
ClubLexus Stories

Celebrating Lexus & Toyota from Around the Globe

story-0

2026 Lexus IS 350 F Sport Review: The Last of Its Kind Still Rocks

 Michael S. Palmer
story-1

Top 10 Most Confusing Things Lexus Has Ever Done!

 Joe Kucinski
story-2

2026 Lexus ES Review: Lexus Re-Embraces Founding Principles

 Michael S. Palmer
story-3

10 Lexus Bargains That are Cheaper Than a New Toyota RAV4

 Joe Kucinski
story-4

8 Weirdest Things Lexus Has Ever Built

 Verdad Gallardo
story-5

10 Lexus Designs That Have Aged Like Fine Wine

 Verdad Gallardo
story-6

8 Tips for Improving Your Hybrid or Plug-in Hybrid's Efficiency!

 Michael S. Palmer
story-7

10 Best Lexus Models No One Remembers

 Joe Kucinski
story-8

TRD Off-Road Premium: Best 2026 4Runner, Except This One Thing

 Michael S. Palmer
story-9

Top 10 Lexus & Toyotas to Drive Before You Die!

 Joe Kucinski
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:18 AM
  #2484  
SW17LS's Avatar
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
Active Streak: 60 Days
Loved
Community Favorite
Top Answer: 1
 
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 69,027
Likes: 4,152
From: Maryland
Default

Originally Posted by AJT123
No, it doesn't, because you didn't answer the question.. You said if it was cheap you'd do it. Not the same thing.
You don't understand this because you do buy and drive old cars, for someone like us who doesn't do that...its hard to answer "yes" because we wouldn't buy any car that age...

I can tell you EV vs ICE would not play into my decision not to buy a 12.5 year old car.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:19 AM
  #2485  
asj2024's Avatar
asj2024
Advanced
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Feb 2024
Posts: 558
Likes: 131
From: NJ/FL
Default

Originally Posted by AJT123
Worth pointing out that absolutely nobody has directly answered this question.....

I think we know what my answer would be so that's all I'll say.
If we're all being honest, we all know many people (and especially the people who don't frequent freaking Lexus forums and will def bat an eye at repair costs of $10k+ *rolls eyes*) would be fine with a 12 year old ICE car so long as it runs ok. It happens every single day. In fact, I've sold a couple of 12+ year old ICE cars in my time to people who seem fine with it (my old Nissan Maxima and Rav4).

But buying an EV with original batteries at 12 years is like buying a ticking time bomb, and this from someone who actually has owned an HEV (with a battery exponentially smaller than BEVs) for 15 years.

And as I'm actually being honest and not being a rah-rah fanboy, I can say I would NOT buy a used HEV at that age unless the battery has been replaced, much less a PHEV or BEV with much larger batteries.

Last edited by asj2024; Mar 22, 2024 at 06:28 AM.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:24 AM
  #2486  
SW17LS's Avatar
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
Active Streak: 60 Days
Loved
Community Favorite
Top Answer: 1
 
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 69,027
Likes: 4,152
From: Maryland
Default

Originally Posted by asj2024
If we're all being honest, we all know most people (and especially the people who don't frequent freaking Lexus forums and will def bat an eye at repair costs of $10k *rolls eyes*) would be fine with a 12 year old ICE car so long as it runs ok. It happens every single day.

But buying an EV with original batteries at 12 years is like buying a ticking time bomb, and this from someone who actually has owned an HEV (with a battery exponentially smaller than BEVs) for 15 years.

And as I'm actually being honest and not being a rah-rah fanboy, I can say I would NOT buy a used HEV at that age unless the battery has been replaced, much less a PHEV or BEV with much larger batteries.
But you drive two cars that are also a "ticking time bomb" and one of them is 12 years old. A Hybrid or PHEV is just as dead without its battery as an EV. What you are saying in rhetoric is not what you do in practice.

I would not own or drive any 12 year old car...unless it was a fun garage queen that I just drove for fun...thats the truth.

People will buy old EVs when there are a bunch of old EVs around. These concerns will make them cheap and really attractive.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:24 AM
  #2487  
Allen K's Avatar
Allen K
-0----0-
CL Folding 25,000
15 Year Member
Liked
Community Favorite
iTrader: (4)
 
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 10,238
Likes: 1,203
From: NJ
Default

I don't get why people in this thread think the battery will just suddenly stop working completely when they age. Will it degrade? Certainly, but it's not like blowing an engine where it'll become completely inoperable. Even the OG Nissan Leaf which had a horrible air-cooled battery had rapid degradation but they still worked.

Last edited by Allen K; Mar 22, 2024 at 06:30 AM.
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:29 AM
  #2488  
LeX2K's Avatar
LeX2K
Lexus Fanatic
15 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 26,134
Likes: 4,360
From: Alberta
Default

Originally Posted by asj2024
If we're all being honest, we all know many people (and especially the people who don't frequent freaking Lexus forums and will def bat an eye at repair costs of $10k *rolls eyes*) would be fine with a 12 year old ICE car so long as it runs ok. It happens every single day. In fact, I've sold a couple of 12+ year old ICE cars in my time to people who seem fine with it (my old Nissan Maxima and Rav4).

But buying an EV with original batteries at 12 years is like buying a ticking time bomb, and this from someone who actually has owned an HEV (with a battery exponentially smaller than BEVs) for 15 years.

And as I'm actually being honest and not being a rah-rah fanboy, I can say I would NOT buy a used HEV at that age unless the battery has been replaced, much less a PHEV or BEV with much larger batteries.
You've made your point over and over and over and over again to can we move on please?
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:30 AM
  #2489  
SW17LS's Avatar
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
Active Streak: 60 Days
Loved
Community Favorite
Top Answer: 1
 
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 69,027
Likes: 4,152
From: Maryland
Default

Originally Posted by Allen K
I don't get why people in this thread think the battery will just stop working completely at some point. Will it degrade? Certainly, but it's not like blowing an engine where it'll become completely inoperable. Even the OG Nissan Leaf which had a horrible air-cooled battery had rapid degradation but they still worked.
This is a really good point
Reply
Old Mar 22, 2024 | 06:31 AM
  #2490  
Allen K's Avatar
Allen K
-0----0-
CL Folding 25,000
15 Year Member
Liked
Community Favorite
iTrader: (4)
 
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 10,238
Likes: 1,203
From: NJ
Default

I did edit it to make it clearer It will eventually stop working, but it's a typically gradual decline and not an abrupt one.
Reply



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 08:16 PM.

story-0
2026 Lexus IS 350 F Sport Review: The Last of Its Kind Still Rocks

Slideshow: the 2026 IS 350 isn't all that new, and that's why we love it!

By Michael S. Palmer | 2026-06-04 14:35:23


VIEW MORE
story-1
Top 10 Most Confusing Things Lexus Has Ever Done!

Slideshow: 10 most confusing things Lexus has ever done.

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-06-04 09:40:55


VIEW MORE
story-2
2026 Lexus ES Review: Lexus Re-Embraces Founding Principles

Slideshow: Our First-Drive Review of the 2026 Lexus ES!

By Michael S. Palmer | 2026-05-29 20:30:16


VIEW MORE
story-3
10 Lexus Bargains That are Cheaper Than a New Toyota RAV4

Slideshow: 10 Lexus bargain that are cheaper than a new Toyota.

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-05-20 10:28:20


VIEW MORE
story-4
8 Weirdest Things Lexus Has Ever Built

Slideshow: From hoverboards to luxury yachts, these are the strangest projects Lexus has ever attached its badge to.

By Verdad Gallardo | 2026-05-16 11:34:36


VIEW MORE
story-5
10 Lexus Designs That Have Aged Like Fine Wine

Slideshow: Some luxury cars chase trends, but these Lexus models look better now than they did when they first rolled into showrooms.

By Verdad Gallardo | 2026-05-06 17:58:29


VIEW MORE
story-6
8 Tips for Improving Your Hybrid or Plug-in Hybrid's Efficiency!

Slideshow: How to Get the Best Fuel Economy with a Hybrid and Plug-In Hybrid!

By Michael S. Palmer | 2026-05-05 20:54:44


VIEW MORE
story-7
10 Best Lexus Models No One Remembers

Slideshow: 10 best Lexus models no one remembers.

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-05-05 17:33:28


VIEW MORE
story-8
TRD Off-Road Premium: Best 2026 4Runner, Except This One Thing

Slideshow: diving into 4Runner TRD Off-Road Premium's pricing, performance, fuel economy, features, and amenities!

By Michael S. Palmer | 2026-04-23 13:09:18


VIEW MORE
story-9
Top 10 Lexus & Toyotas to Drive Before You Die!

Slideshow: the 10 Lexus and Toyota vehicles you need to drive before you die.

By Joe Kucinski | 2026-04-23 10:34:24


VIEW MORE