Super Weird
I had a long chat with the Lexus mechanic on Friday and picked up the car on Saturday. He messed with it for 4 days. When this alarm goes off, there is a very distinct check list to go through, per Lexus. I've attached it here. There was no flooding or anything of that nature. Interestingly, the mechanic said that going through the check list, he may have solved the problem. The hybrid has a high voltage motor, over 300 volts. So, obviously not 12 volts. 300 volts will kill you easy. So, the system is designed to interrupt that voltage and current anytime something is amiss. In this case, it can be simple oxygenation on a contact preventing sufficient flow of electricity through the safety circuit at any of several locations. This stops the car in its tracks. It was an intermittent problem. At first, it only gave me an alarm "Check Hybrid System". The car remained drive-able. One day later, I drove it somewhere. The alarm happened. And the car would not go. Had it towed. Two days later, the mechanic was looking at it, and the alarm had cleared, and he never actually saw the problem happen. But, he went through the entire hybrid system...looking for corrosion or loose connections. He even said he called the Lexus HQ and they said plug A38 is sometimes the culprit. That is a plug under the hood serving the AC compressor. But, none of the connections were loose or even appeared to show signs of oxidation. He said that by removing plugs and plugging them back in, he may have removed minor oxidation that was not readily visible. And he said he has run into this before. And he said he rarely sees the car again after a failed diagnosis. Not sure if that is the only reason he doesn't see it again. But, it makes sense given that simple oxidation could be the problem. On the Prius, there was a problem with moisture getting through a seal and corroding a certain plug. That is not the case here. Also on the Prius, there is a red plug on the hybrid battery that is the main safety. That sometimes gets jarred open. But, that red plug in this particular Lexus is where the tire is located. The tire is covered by a plastic cover. So, if nothing is rolling around in there by the tire, the likelihood of that plug getting jarred open is low. But, a local hybrid shop who specializes in hybrid battery replacements said that more often than not, you just open this plug and close it again. But, that was for Prius and other hybrids. Also, interestingly, he did a load check on the hybrid battery. This car has 205K miles. It passed that load test. That was impressive to me.