Notices
Car Chat General discussion about Lexus, other auto manufacturers and automotive news.
Sponsored by:
Sponsored by: Innova

Model 3 demand Slowing?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 02:40 PM
  #1  
coolsaber's Avatar
coolsaber
Thread Starter
Lead Lap
Photogenic
Photoriffic
 
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 4,611
Likes: 371
From: In your head
Default Model 3 demand Slowing?

Are we finally seeing demand plateau or falter for the 3?



Source:https://jalopnik.com/ford-ranger-dem...ady-1832228163

2nd Gear: Analysts: Maybe America Doesn’t Want Any More Tesla Model 3s

Tesla just posted its 2018 round up last night and its look forward to 2019. Included in that was its first ever back-to-back quarterly profits and a truly astronomical workload to get everything it wants done for 2020.
A big part of the Tesla mythos is that you’re always being promised a brighter future. When so much …

But also there’s something interesting in Tesla’s discussion of how it’s shipping the Model 3, as noted in a Reuters report today:

Analysts were also concerned by Tesla’s indication that it is only making cars for China and Europe right now, and expects a gap of about 10,000 vehicles between production and deliveries due to vehicles in transit at the end of the first quarter.

“This is a strong indication that demand in the U.S. for both the mid-range and long-range Model 3 versions has largely been exhausted, and the company is still working through the estimated ~6.8k of unsold Model 3 inventory,” Cowen analysts said.
Oh, shares of Tesla are down four percent, if you’re curious.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 03:41 PM
  #2  
Fizzboy7's Avatar
Fizzboy7
Lexus Test Driver
15 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 9,997
Likes: 248
From: California
Default

The car just went on sale... how can their be a plateau? My neighborhood is full of brand new ones, most of which don't even have their plates yet.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 04:38 PM
  #3  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,521
Likes: 261
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by Fizzboy7
The car just went on sale... how can their be a plateau? My neighborhood is full of brand new ones, most of which don't even have their plates yet.

Model 3s actually went on "sale" over two years ago. For a number of reasons, it has simply taken this long for the company to get them into production and delivered.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 05:01 PM
  #4  
FrankReynoldsCPA's Avatar
FrankReynoldsCPA
Lexus Test Driver
15 Year Member
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 8,403
Likes: 365
From: Las Vegas
Default

I expect demand will be impacted somewhat by the reduction in the available tax credit from $7500 to $3750 effective January 1, 2019.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 06:20 PM
  #5  
Allen K's Avatar
Allen K
-0----0-
CL Folding 25,000
15 Year Member
Liked
Community Favorite
iTrader: (4)
 
Joined: Apr 2007
Posts: 10,231
Likes: 1,200
From: NJ
Default

A lot of folks are also waiting for the $35K model
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 08:25 PM
  #6  
spwolf's Avatar
spwolf
Lexus Fanatic
20 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 20,240
Likes: 274
Default

Originally Posted by coolsaber
Are we finally seeing demand plateau or falter for the 3?



Source:https://jalopnik.com/ford-ranger-dem...ady-1832228163
while they are expanding markets, i am not sure who exactly will they be selling those 10k/week Model 3's to. There is no such large market, and their current China sales for model S/X are tiny.

While 35k Model 3 will expand sales, by that time they will lose more of the credits and it is also not profitable for Tesla.

I am sure they will sell well, just not 10k/week well.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 08:31 PM
  #7  
sears1234's Avatar
sears1234
Pole Position
 
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 260
Likes: 4
From: WA
Default

Originally Posted by Allen K
A lot of folks are also waiting for the $35K model
One of my friend has waited for the 35k model 3 for over two years, he told me he will only take the model 3 for up to 28K now.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 08:49 PM
  #8  
rominl's Avatar
rominl
exclusive matchup
20 Year Member
Liked
Community Favorite
Top Answer: 1
iTrader: (4)
 
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 81,885
Likes: 476
From: Lovely OC
Default

two factors, first of all fed credit went from 7500 to 3750, that has noticeable effect. and also that most buyers now are the ones waiting for the 35k model
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 08:52 PM
  #9  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,521
Likes: 261
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by rominl
two factors, first of all fed credit went from 7500 to 3750, that has noticeable effect. and also that most buyers now are the ones waiting for the 35k model
How is your Model 3 doing, Henry? Are you satisfied with it?
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 08:55 PM
  #10  
LeX2K's Avatar
LeX2K
Lexus Fanatic
15 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 26,053
Likes: 4,329
From: Alberta
Default

It's fun to watch the doomsday predictions continuously being wrong, remember when Tesla was not going to make it into 2019?
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 08:59 PM
  #11  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,521
Likes: 261
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by Lexus2000
It's fun to watch the doomsday predictions continuously being wrong, remember when Tesla was not going to make it into 2019?
One of the reasons they did make it this far is probably that Musk was forced to give up some of his power. Had he not, it would have been anybody's guess as to what would have happened.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 09:25 PM
  #12  
LeX2K's Avatar
LeX2K
Lexus Fanatic
15 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 26,053
Likes: 4,329
From: Alberta
Default

Originally Posted by mmarshall
One of the reasons they did make it this far is probably that Musk was forced to give up some of his power. Had he not, it would have been anybody's guess as to what would have happened.
Similar things were said about Steve Jobs before he was forced out. Apple nearly died, when Jobs came back he revolutionized the tech sector. No way Tesla gets this far without Musk he designs and engineers a whole pile of stuff himself, for starters.

It's en vogue to hate on Tesla people fear new things I guess.

Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 09:50 PM
  #13  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,521
Likes: 261
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by Lexus2000
Similar things were said about Steve Jobs before he was forced out. Apple nearly died, when Jobs came back he revolutionized the tech sector. No way Tesla gets this far without Musk he designs and engineers a whole pile of stuff himself, for starters.

It's en vogue to hate on Tesla people fear new things I guess.

Not in vogue at all. And it's not a case of people being "haters". Most of us have better things to do with our time than simply sit around and dream up ways to hate people. Whatever misfortunes he has, he brought most of them on himself. One reaps what one sows.

Now, that doesn't mean that he can't undo them, either. Each morning brings new opportunities to review one's past, and, if possible, to make any necessary changes....that goes for all of us.

In the meantime, the thread-topic (Model 3)...there's no question that it has been a success, though it took long enough to get it into production and start filling orders.

Last edited by mmarshall; Jan 31, 2019 at 09:58 PM.
Reply
Old Jan 31, 2019 | 10:27 PM
  #14  
UDel's Avatar
UDel
Lexus Fanatic
 
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 12,269
Likes: 296
From: ------
Default

Could have something to do with it being so ugly and goofy looking.
Reply
Old Feb 1, 2019 | 03:20 AM
  #15  
Vladi's Avatar
Vladi
Pole Position
20 Year Member
Photogenic
Photoriffic
 
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 2,705
Likes: 6
From: Florida
Default

Model 3 sales numbers are the worst spin off in auto industry right now. They've been collecting sales for over two years and then they just went into delivery mode when good Tesla PR people spin that into super-sales/super-demand bandwagon.
Reply



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 11:59 AM.