Car Chat General discussion about Lexus, other auto manufacturers and automotive news.

Model 3 demand Slowing?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 01-31-19, 02:40 PM
  #1  
coolsaber
Lead Lap
Thread Starter
 
coolsaber's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: In your head
Posts: 4,086
Received 275 Likes on 246 Posts
Default Model 3 demand Slowing?

Are we finally seeing demand plateau or falter for the 3?



Source:https://jalopnik.com/ford-ranger-dem...ady-1832228163

2nd Gear: Analysts: Maybe America Doesn’t Want Any More Tesla Model 3s

Tesla just posted its 2018 round up last night and its look forward to 2019. Included in that was its first ever back-to-back quarterly profits and a truly astronomical workload to get everything it wants done for 2020.
A big part of the Tesla mythos is that you’re always being promised a brighter future. When so much …

But also there’s something interesting in Tesla’s discussion of how it’s shipping the Model 3, as noted in a Reuters report today:

Analysts were also concerned by Tesla’s indication that it is only making cars for China and Europe right now, and expects a gap of about 10,000 vehicles between production and deliveries due to vehicles in transit at the end of the first quarter.

“This is a strong indication that demand in the U.S. for both the mid-range and long-range Model 3 versions has largely been exhausted, and the company is still working through the estimated ~6.8k of unsold Model 3 inventory,” Cowen analysts said.
Oh, shares of Tesla are down four percent, if you’re curious.
coolsaber is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 03:41 PM
  #2  
Fizzboy7
Lexus Test Driver
 
Fizzboy7's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: California
Posts: 9,679
Received 156 Likes on 91 Posts
Default

The car just went on sale... how can their be a plateau? My neighborhood is full of brand new ones, most of which don't even have their plates yet.
Fizzboy7 is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 04:38 PM
  #3  
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
 
mmarshall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Posts: 90,577
Received 83 Likes on 82 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Fizzboy7
The car just went on sale... how can their be a plateau? My neighborhood is full of brand new ones, most of which don't even have their plates yet.

Model 3s actually went on "sale" over two years ago. For a number of reasons, it has simply taken this long for the company to get them into production and delivered.
mmarshall is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 05:01 PM
  #4  
FrankReynoldsCPA
Lexus Test Driver
 
FrankReynoldsCPA's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Las Vegas
Posts: 6,476
Received 62 Likes on 43 Posts
Default

I expect demand will be impacted somewhat by the reduction in the available tax credit from $7500 to $3750 effective January 1, 2019.
FrankReynoldsCPA is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 06:20 PM
  #5  
Allen K
-0----0-

iTrader: (4)
 
Allen K's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: NJ
Posts: 9,185
Received 582 Likes on 401 Posts
Default

A lot of folks are also waiting for the $35K model
Allen K is online now  
Old 01-31-19, 08:25 PM
  #6  
spwolf
Lexus Champion
 
spwolf's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 19,842
Received 110 Likes on 81 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by coolsaber
Are we finally seeing demand plateau or falter for the 3?



Source:https://jalopnik.com/ford-ranger-dem...ady-1832228163
while they are expanding markets, i am not sure who exactly will they be selling those 10k/week Model 3's to. There is no such large market, and their current China sales for model S/X are tiny.

While 35k Model 3 will expand sales, by that time they will lose more of the credits and it is also not profitable for Tesla.

I am sure they will sell well, just not 10k/week well.
spwolf is online now  
Old 01-31-19, 08:31 PM
  #7  
sears1234
Pole Position
 
sears1234's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: WA
Posts: 260
Received 4 Likes on 3 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Allen K
A lot of folks are also waiting for the $35K model
One of my friend has waited for the 35k model 3 for over two years, he told me he will only take the model 3 for up to 28K now.
sears1234 is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 08:49 PM
  #8  
rominl
exclusive matchup

iTrader: (4)
 
rominl's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Lovely OC
Posts: 81,670
Received 184 Likes on 143 Posts
Default

two factors, first of all fed credit went from 7500 to 3750, that has noticeable effect. and also that most buyers now are the ones waiting for the 35k model
rominl is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 08:52 PM
  #9  
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
 
mmarshall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Posts: 90,577
Received 83 Likes on 82 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by rominl
two factors, first of all fed credit went from 7500 to 3750, that has noticeable effect. and also that most buyers now are the ones waiting for the 35k model
How is your Model 3 doing, Henry? Are you satisfied with it?
mmarshall is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 08:55 PM
  #10  
LeX2K
Lexus Champion
 
LeX2K's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Alberta
Posts: 19,420
Received 2,707 Likes on 2,292 Posts
Default

It's fun to watch the doomsday predictions continuously being wrong, remember when Tesla was not going to make it into 2019?
LeX2K is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 08:59 PM
  #11  
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
 
mmarshall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Posts: 90,577
Received 83 Likes on 82 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Lexus2000
It's fun to watch the doomsday predictions continuously being wrong, remember when Tesla was not going to make it into 2019?
One of the reasons they did make it this far is probably that Musk was forced to give up some of his power. Had he not, it would have been anybody's guess as to what would have happened.
mmarshall is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 09:25 PM
  #12  
LeX2K
Lexus Champion
 
LeX2K's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Alberta
Posts: 19,420
Received 2,707 Likes on 2,292 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by mmarshall
One of the reasons they did make it this far is probably that Musk was forced to give up some of his power. Had he not, it would have been anybody's guess as to what would have happened.
Similar things were said about Steve Jobs before he was forced out. Apple nearly died, when Jobs came back he revolutionized the tech sector. No way Tesla gets this far without Musk he designs and engineers a whole pile of stuff himself, for starters.

It's en vogue to hate on Tesla people fear new things I guess.

LeX2K is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 09:50 PM
  #13  
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
 
mmarshall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Posts: 90,577
Received 83 Likes on 82 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Lexus2000
Similar things were said about Steve Jobs before he was forced out. Apple nearly died, when Jobs came back he revolutionized the tech sector. No way Tesla gets this far without Musk he designs and engineers a whole pile of stuff himself, for starters.

It's en vogue to hate on Tesla people fear new things I guess.

Not in vogue at all. And it's not a case of people being "haters". Most of us have better things to do with our time than simply sit around and dream up ways to hate people. Whatever misfortunes he has, he brought most of them on himself. One reaps what one sows.

Now, that doesn't mean that he can't undo them, either. Each morning brings new opportunities to review one's past, and, if possible, to make any necessary changes....that goes for all of us.

In the meantime, the thread-topic (Model 3)...there's no question that it has been a success, though it took long enough to get it into production and start filling orders.

Last edited by mmarshall; 01-31-19 at 09:58 PM.
mmarshall is offline  
Old 01-31-19, 10:27 PM
  #14  
UDel
Lexus Fanatic
 
UDel's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: ------
Posts: 12,274
Received 296 Likes on 223 Posts
Default

Could have something to do with it being so ugly and goofy looking.
UDel is offline  
Old 02-01-19, 03:20 AM
  #15  
Vladi
Pole Position
 
Vladi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Florida
Posts: 2,665
Likes: 0
Received 5 Likes on 5 Posts
Default

Model 3 sales numbers are the worst spin off in auto industry right now. They've been collecting sales for over two years and then they just went into delivery mode when good Tesla PR people spin that into super-sales/super-demand bandwagon.
Vladi is offline  


Quick Reply: Model 3 demand Slowing?



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 06:48 AM.