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Which HKS exhaust? One is produced by HKS for Lexus, and the other is produced and distributed by HKS, and is a little more aggressive. Neither will give anywhere close to the HP gains you are talking about, especially on a 250. I would be surprised if you got 5 HP from either of them.
Most people say no different but i have the hks exhaust from that dealer and had it installed last month, i felt a difference but the biggest plus was the sound. i get compliments everywhere i go and from all my friends and they are very forward. the most gain i feel is from my intake (injen short ram). going to the dyno soon and will post. the good thing is i have dyno sheet from my car before mods so will show real gains hopefully. i raced my friends G35 and beat him through first and second by about a half a car ............but after that he pulls hard .........
I wouldn't be surprised if you LOSE power on the low end and gain a little on the high end when you dyno your car. So many people think that bolting on a 10whp intake + 5whp exhaust means, "I gots 15hp now yo and I feel it". That's rice math and it doesn't work like that. Bolt-ons can shift power curves, sometimes for the worse.
which one is from dealer?
the high power or the Carbon ti
Neither of the ones you mention are from the dealer (ie OEM Lexus). The HKS Hi Power is the retail HKS version. The Carbon Ti is a custom exhaust. The OEM Lexus unit that is built by HKS is just called "High Performance Lexus Exhaust", or something.