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Old Mar 13, 2025 | 05:58 AM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by ESh
When we talk about the 8ES, I would buy it as a hybrid. Others (PHEV, EV) are not on my list.

I am pretty sure that Hybrid will be the main powertrain.
Just curious why PHEV is out of your list? It's essentially a hybrid with increased horsepower and a larger battery compared to an HEV, though smaller than that of a full EV. It also offers the option for plug-in wall charging, as seen in models like the RAV4 Prime and NX 450+.
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Old Mar 13, 2025 | 06:48 AM
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Originally Posted by scubapr
Just curious why PHEV is out of your list? It's essentially a hybrid with increased horsepower and a larger battery compared to an HEV, though smaller than that of a full EV. It also offers the option for plug-in wall charging, as seen in models like the RAV4 Prime and NX 450+.
And roughly $10K higher price - there might not be enough demand for it in the ES.
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Old Mar 13, 2025 | 07:58 AM
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Originally Posted by scubapr
I generally agree with this. That’s why Tesla, leaving politics aside, has been so successful. They’ve truly excelled in those areas. I also like that EV's updates also adds new driving features and sometimes performance gains.

But my main concern with EVs is that basically you are buying a time-disposable car, much like modern smartphones. Especially for those of us who like to keep cars for 8-15 years or more. With current battery technology, it’s almost inevitable that a replacement would be needed by that time. The cost of replacing a full EV battery will likely surpass the car’s value. I was recently told by an insurer that even with current market EVs, if they are involved in any accident and the battery requires replacement, the vehicle 99.9% of the time will be deemed a total loss. That's why they have hhigher insurance premiums. That along with depreciation and prolonged charging times (aside from the convenience of solar home or work charging if possible) it's the EV's Achilles heel IMHO.

For some people EV's ownership will truly triumph ICE, HEV and PHEV. But personally I'm not so sure full EV's are the future. At least not with the current battery technology. We just need to find an alternative, abundant and quick to refill fuel and/or cheaper and longer-lasting batteries to power those highly reliable electric motors.

PS. I would definitely consider a 3rd yr @ 8th Gen PHEV ES with AWD and 350+ HP; and if they throw foldable rear seats I will probably trade in a heartbeat.
A PHEV would theoretically have the same issue of advancing battery tech later on.

300 mile range in my Tesla is more than enough anyway. I wake up with a "full tank" every morning and use only a wee bit of that. Almost never do I need the entire full range and even if I did, the supercharger network is vast and fast. So it's a non-issue. So I don't see my battery being out of date as a realistic issue. And even if it was, so what. I simply trade the car in for a new one.

And no the batteries don't require replacement in an accident. at least in Teslas. The body in white on a Tesla encases the battery in a super fortress. This is why the side structure of the Model Y is so incredibly extremely robust and high performing. In addition to the body in white itself (which is already a tank) there are two massive extruded aluminum sub structures protecting the battery and occupant compartment.

Put it this way if you get into a situation where you're damaging a Tesla battery, that same impact would total another car instantly, if not completely destroy its passengers.

Same goes for the giga castings.

Also for the record my insurance is dirt cheap on my Tesla. with high limits and low deds. but yes it is very expensive for younger people or people with accidents/tickets -- which i like as a gatekeep =) and yes repair costs on Teslas are generally higher. but tesla is fixing a lot of that with the Model Y refresh. I'm doing an analysis on the structure currently.

Feel free to run any more questions.
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Old Mar 13, 2025 | 07:59 AM
  #19  
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there's a lot of misinformation, disinformation, and misperceptions about EVs (mostly Tesla) out there among car guys.
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Old Mar 13, 2025 | 08:04 AM
  #20  
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One more thing -- sorry. One can still continue to believe such misinfo if they want. Fine by me. the way i see it, i keep more people out of the brand. there's already too many =/ So i try not to defend the brand actually and i let the misinfo fly and wink and smile in my own mind LOL. but some of you guys are cool so i'll try to help you out.
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Old Mar 13, 2025 | 04:26 PM
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Originally Posted by E46CT
....300 mile range in my Tesla is more than enough anyway. I wake up with a "full tank" every morning and use only a wee bit of that. Almost never do I need the entire full range and even if I did, the supercharger network is vast and fast. So it's a non-issue. So I don't see my battery being out of date as a realistic issue. And even if it was, so what. I simply trade the car in for a new one.
I agree, and for some, it works far better than any ICE engine. Don't get me wrong, I do like Teslas, and most of my friends who own them mostly love them as well.

Originally Posted by E46CT
...And no the batteries don't require replacement in an accident. at least in Teslas. The body in white on a Tesla encases the battery in a super fortress. This is why the side structure of the Model Y is so incredibly extremely robust and high performing. In addition to the body in white itself (which is already a tank) there are two massive extruded aluminum sub structures protecting the battery and occupant compartment.

Put it this way if you get into a situation where you're damaging a Tesla battery, that same impact would total another car instantly, if not completely destroy its passengers.

Same goes for the giga castings.

Also for the record my insurance is dirt cheap on my Tesla. with high limits and low deds. but yes it is very expensive for younger people or people with accidents/tickets -- which i like as a gatekeep =) and yes repair costs on Teslas are generally higher. but tesla is fixing a lot of that with the Model Y refresh. I'm doing an analysis on the structure currently.

Feel free to run any more questions.
I have no reason to doubt you; and maybe they are tougher than tanks. However, in my area, the top 3 insurance companies all charge higher premiums for Teslas or any EV for that matter. I was told the reason behind it was that the few accidents where EVs suffer battery damage, the cost of replacing the battery often renders the car a total loss. Misinfo? Perhaps. But the fact remains that, at least in my area, insurance costs for vehicles for same age, work commute distance, and residential zone are as follows: Tesla Model 3 LR > ES 300h > ES 350. And the ES is actually more expensive than the M3 LR.
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Old Mar 13, 2025 | 04:36 PM
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Originally Posted by mikemu30
And roughly $10K higher price - there might not be enough demand for it in the ES.
In my area, only ICE and HEV vehicles are taxed, while PHEVs and EVs are exempt. Due to the exceptionally high tax rate on cars, the out-the-door price for a PHEV is often comparable to its ICE counterpart locally.
That said, you do make a valid point!
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 03:32 AM
  #23  
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Originally Posted by scubapr
Just curious why PHEV is out of your list? It's essentially a hybrid with increased horsepower and a larger battery compared to an HEV, though smaller than that of a full EV. It also offers the option for plug-in wall charging, as seen in models like the RAV4 Prime and NX 450+.

PHEV-s are OK if you drive 20-30 miles per day, but for everything longer they are useless. You are caring all that empty battery with you, for no good reason.
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 07:19 AM
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Originally Posted by ESh
PHEV-s are OK if you drive 20-30 miles per day, but for everything longer they are useless. You are caring all that empty battery with you, for no good reason.
doesn't the battery charge itself like any other hybrid, therefore it's not empty. besides one could argue depending on use, you're carrying around all that engine and gas tank with you for no reason which in the case of a 20-30 mile per day/commute, you're not even using at ALL where at least the battery is ALWAYS being used.

one should focus on simply getting the best car for them.

i would guess 99% of us commute or take other short trips daily accounts for greater than 90% of our total driving miles (if not more). in such cases, a PHEV is the superior choice... IF it's cost-effective which in the case of Toyota it's not yet. but in terms of just being plain convenient, waking up to a full "tank" of electricity every morning is great. Why have the car sitting doing nothing while you sleep if it can instead re-fuel itself w/ electricity as you sleep. for a PHEV the trip to the gas station won't be as often.

Last edited by E46CT; Mar 14, 2025 at 07:20 AM.
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 08:11 AM
  #25  
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Originally Posted by ESh
PHEV-s are OK if you drive 20-30 miles per day, but for everything longer they are useless. You are caring all that empty battery with you, for no good reason.
In theory, yes. But in practice, some of them work just fine. For example, the RAV4 / NX PHEV is widely reported to deliver both smoother, quieter operation and faster performance than the regular hybrid.
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 09:21 AM
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All of them work fine but when the battery is empty than the car works as a regular hybrid, except the fuel economy is worse than on a regular hybrid because of the weight.
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 09:35 AM
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guess it depends on phev vs hybrid:

drive less than 40 miles per day, advantage phev.

drive between 40 and 100 miles per day or more, advantage normal hybrid.
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 12:21 PM
  #28  
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Originally Posted by landonm86
Kirk Kreifels on YouTube is a former Lexus sales guy and has a huge Lexus and Toyota following. He said he had three sources that verified the 2026 ES will debut in EV ONLY and will follow months later with a hybrid. He’s not usually wrong but it’s still all unverified by Lexus.
nothing he speculates on is original and mostly secondhand.

we already know there will be a BEV of the ES called Es500e. It will use the same EV drivetrain as the Rz500e.

But also the HEV which is another es300h on the Camry hybrid drivetrain to be announced Oct 2025 to be available in 2026.

These has been in development since 2012.

Last edited by 703; Mar 14, 2025 at 12:31 PM.
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 12:54 PM
  #29  
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Originally Posted by 703
nothing he speculates on is original and mostly secondhand.

we already know there will be a BEV of the ES called Es500e. It will use the same EV drivetrain as the Rz500e.

But also the HEV which is another es300h on the Camry hybrid drivetrain to be announced Oct 2025 to be available in 2026.

These has been in development since 2012.
Where did you get the October 2025 date from?
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Old Mar 14, 2025 | 01:38 PM
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Originally Posted by E46CT
guess it depends on phev vs hybrid:

drive less than 40 miles per day, advantage phev.

drive between 40 and 100 miles per day or more, advantage normal hybrid.
the payback on a phev has to be tough to make back unless there's some tax benefit that offsets the incremental $10k or so.
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