Notices
Car Chat General discussion about Lexus, other auto manufacturers and automotive news.
Sponsored by:
Sponsored by: Innova

BMW says electrification is overhyped

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 08:03 AM
  #31  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,471
Likes: 252
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by Hameed
Thanks! That was definitely one of the biggest pro's for me. I drove a 70D a couple of years ago and I was smitten in less than 5 minutes. I have waited 5 years in total to get one and my enthusiasm/desire to get one only increased over time. Anyone that is into cars and performance owes it to themselves to drive one. Its that simple. Your outlook on cars in general will change despite all the cons with electric cars (generally speaking).
Welcome back to Car Chat, Hameed. Haven't seen you post much lately.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 08:04 AM
  #32  
bitkahuna's Avatar
bitkahuna
CL Community Team
iTrader: (20)
 
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 80,844
Likes: 4,018
Default

i think bmw says electrification is overhyped because tesla has most likely eaten into a lot of bmw sales.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 08:15 AM
  #33  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,471
Likes: 252
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by bitkahuna
i think bmw says electrification is overhyped because tesla has most likely eaten into a lot of bmw sales.
One big potential problem with pure-electric vehicles, that few seem to be concerned about (or maybe even aware of), is what would happen if a hostile country or organization were to succeed in hacking or shutting down a large part of the nation's electric and/or power-generating systems. Not only would it affect electric-recharging, but (possibly) even operation of conventional gas stations and gas pumps.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 08:19 AM
  #34  
bitkahuna's Avatar
bitkahuna
CL Community Team
iTrader: (20)
 
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 80,844
Likes: 4,018
Default

Originally Posted by mmarshall
One big potential problem with pure-electric vehicles, that few seem to be concerned about (or maybe even aware of), is what would happen if a hostile country or organization were to succeed in hacking or shutting down a large part of the nation's electric and/or power-generating systems. Not only would it affect electric-recharging, but (possibly) even operation of conventional gas stations and gas pumps.
same can be said for communications, transportation in general, water, food, etc. that's one of the things the NSA does... working to harden critical infrastructure.

about electricity specifically, the more solar we can deploy, the better off we'll be. unless hackers turn off the sun.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 08:29 AM
  #35  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,471
Likes: 252
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by bitkahuna
about electricity specifically, the more solar we can deploy, the better off we'll be. unless hackers turn off the sun.
I potentially agree on the solar-generation, although the traditional problems of clouds, night, varying sun-angles, protection of the solar panels from storms, and inadequate electric-storage in batteries/capacitors will need to be adequately addressed.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 08:59 AM
  #36  
Hameed's Avatar
Hameed
EV ftw!!!
20 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 9,035
Likes: 602
From: Lake Ontario
Default

Originally Posted by mmarshall
Welcome back to Car Chat, Hameed. Haven't seen you post much lately.
Thanks! Photography as a hobby took over my life (as opposed to car modding) and that's the main reason. I share my images (mostly landscape and architecture) on Instagram if you're interested in seeing what I've been up to @SilverGS is my account on Insta
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 09:01 AM
  #37  
winterturb's Avatar
winterturb
Lead Lap
 
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 512
Likes: 169
From: Alberta
Default

Many Tesla’s are coal driven cars as it’s coal that generates the power they run on. The efficiency and pollution produced running electric is not even close to what diesel cars are. Dieses are far more environmentally friendly when all things considered. That does not negate the wonderful driving experience and technological marvels Tesla cars are. Green they are not.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 09:12 AM
  #38  
LeX2K's Avatar
LeX2K
Lexus Fanatic
15 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 26,026
Likes: 4,321
From: Alberta
Default

Originally Posted by mmarshall
One big potential problem with pure-electric vehicles, that few seem to be concerned about (or maybe even aware of), is what would happen if a hostile country or organization were to succeed in hacking or shutting down a large part of the nation's electric and/or power-generating systems. Not only would it affect electric-recharging, but (possibly) even operation of conventional gas stations and gas pumps.
A gas pump won't work without electricity so this is not a "big potential problem with pure-electric vehicles" it is a problem in general. On major advantage to a BEV is you can have a home charging solution you're never going to have a petrol refinery in your house. BTW if the entire grid was shut off for even a week society would completely break down not being able to gas up or charge your car would be the tip of the iceberg.
Originally Posted by bitkahuna
i think bmw says electrification is overhyped because tesla has most likely eaten into a lot of bmw sales.
This is the correct answer.

On Diesels, they are a dead market and horribly polluting VW didn't cheat their *** off for the fun of it.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 09:56 AM
  #39  
rogerh00's Avatar
rogerh00
Racer
Veteran: Air Force
20 Year Member
 
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 1,488
Likes: 52
From: FL
Default

The key sentence in the article to me is...."While internal combustion engines are set to remain at BMW for a while, their portfolio will shrink drastically."

So what fills the gap?
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 11:14 AM
  #40  
UDel's Avatar
UDel
Lexus Fanatic
 
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 12,269
Likes: 296
From: ------
Default

Originally Posted by Lexus2000
A gas pump won't work without electricity so this is not a "big potential problem with pure-electric vehicles" it is a problem in general. On major advantage to a BEV is you can have a home charging solution you're never going to have a petrol refinery in your house. BTW if the entire grid was shut off for even a week society would completely break down not being able to gas up or charge your car would be the tip of the iceberg.

This is the correct answer.

On Diesels, they are a dead market and horribly polluting VW didn't cheat their *** off for the fun of it.
I believe gas stations have ways of retrieving gas without using electricity/electric pumps, you can use manual pumps to get the gas, the gas can be taken directly from the delivery trucks too if there is a major electrical problem to fuel people's cars, it would be a pain but not the same as a power outage for electric vehicles where they simply won't get recharged unless you use generators for electricity which run on gas and will take forever to charge a electric car.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 01:00 PM
  #41  
peteharvey's Avatar
peteharvey
Lead Lap
10 Year Member
Loved
Community Favorite
Top Answer: 1
 
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 4,727
Likes: 552
From: Ca
Default

Originally Posted by Lexus2000
The chemistry in a mobile device battery is designed for maximum capacity and fast charging, the compromise is the battery has a short life.

Who is they? Are these same rare earth metals not used in a hybrid or conventional car?
EV's use much more rare earth metals than conventional ICEV's.

Originally Posted by Allen K
Well it's a good thing people have been tracking the actual data then.

https://steinbuch.wordpress.com/2015...radation-data/
Originally Posted by EZZ
I did a lot of research before buying my Tesla due to all the misinformation that people have about battery tech. The battery management system that Tesla employs is faaar more advanced than something like an iPhone. Tesla can monitor each battery individually (Model 3 has around 4500 batteries) to make sure they equally charge and discharge at the same rate and can heat and cool the batteries to maximize efficiency and longevity.

Check out this education series in Tesla battery tech. Very informative.

https://youtu.be/kGFiaWvD-KI
I think EV's are great and certainly the way to the future just like the very first dSLR in the 1999 Nikon D1 digital camera with 2.7 megapixels retailing for US$5,000 at that time.
It wasn't until 2003 that Canon released the world's very first high volume mass production dSLR in the 300D/Digital Rebel at an affordable US$900.

Likewise, we need a good quality EV at an affordable price, before EV's can replace ICEV's, just like the Canon 300D/Digital Rebel replaced the Canon 35 mm Kodak/Fujifilm cameras.

Apart from prices, present issues with EV's include battery range, recharge points, recharge times, battery degradation/longevity, overall weight and its effect on performance/efficiency/braking/handling, plus of course matching a good EV battery-electric motor driveline with a good quality interior and benchmark Toyota Motor Corp long term reliability - the latter two things which a young upstart like Tesla has absolutely no experience with.


Might be only me, but I'm still very sceptical about the degradation/longevity of the batteries.

The battery degradation over mileage is generally favorable, with mileage not heavily affecting degradation - but of course, it is still too early to tell at this point in time, due to the few number of years that Teslas have been on the market.





However, the degradation over time is still a worry.
Presently, the Tesla batteries just haven't been on the market for long enough to prove how quickly they degrade, and how long they will last - as Allen's linked graph shows below.
Only time, and a full 10 years on the market, will show us how a Tesla battery truly degrades over time.
In the graph below, most of the vehicles have only been on the market for 2 years.
Early adopters do so at their own risk.





Below is a graph of how a typical lithium ion 3.6 V battery degrades over time.
Notice how after a certain point in time, the battery's degradation quickly accelerates?
Point being that the Tesla batteries just haven't been on the real world market for long enough to determine how long it really lasts...





Below is a graph of how battery degradation and longevity is affected by high speed charging and high speed discharging.
The more quickly we recharge/discharge a battery, the more quickly the battery degrades, and longevity is diminished...


Last edited by peteharvey; Jun 28, 2019 at 01:31 PM.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 01:18 PM
  #42  
riredale's Avatar
riredale
Instructor
 
Joined: Oct 2016
Posts: 857
Likes: 47
From: Oregon
Default

Originally Posted by Lexus2000
On Diesels, they are a dead market and horribly polluting VW didn't cheat their *** off for the fun of it.
I'm trying to think where I read a comment from a VW owner just the past week. He had one of the cheating VW diesels (which he said was a terrific car, by the way) and that after VW updated the computer code to eliminate the cheating the only real effect he noted was a slight reduction in fuel mileage, from 50 to about 45. This is from memory and I was tired late that night but got the distinct impression that fixing the cheating software resulted in a still-pretty-good engine.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 01:25 PM
  #43  
mmarshall's Avatar
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Community Builder
Community Influencer
Liked
Loved
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 94,471
Likes: 252
From: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Default

Originally Posted by riredale
I'm trying to think where I read a comment from a VW owner just the past week. He had one of the cheating VW diesels (which he said was a terrific car, by the way) and that after VW updated the computer code to eliminate the cheating the only real effect he noted was a slight reduction in fuel mileage, from 50 to about 45. This is from memory and I was tired late that night but got the distinct impression that fixing the cheating software resulted in a still-pretty-good engine.

Good point. What VW did was clearly wrong (and should answer for it), but, unlike some others here, I never did think that it was a massive-scale crime.....it was actually more of a case of Ferdinand Piech's arrogance, disdain for procedures, and classic mismanagement of the company. Yes, it did have somewhat of an effect (mostly minor) on mileage and emissions, but, in my view, most of us face air pollution from countless different sources every day, and also in my view, one should not own a vehicle if one is going to balk at the cost of filling it up.
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 03:54 PM
  #44  
GS3Tek's Avatar
GS3Tek
CL Community Team
20 Year Member
Photogenic
Liked
Loved
iTrader: (8)
 
Joined: Jan 2003
Posts: 12,390
Likes: 184
From: so cal
Default

Originally Posted by bitkahuna
i think bmw says electrification is overhyped because tesla has most likely eaten into a lot of bmw sales.
I didn't check the numbers, but i3 and i8 are not doing well?
Reply
Old Jun 28, 2019 | 04:12 PM
  #45  
LeX2K's Avatar
LeX2K
Lexus Fanatic
15 Year Member
Liked
Loved
Community Favorite
 
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 26,026
Likes: 4,321
From: Alberta
Default

Tesla uses a unique chemistry, cell arrangement and battery management making degradation a non issue I guess some people have a hard time accepting that. On storage reduction over time/mileage an ICE has the same problem as it wears mileage and power go down. And you have to worry about engine oil changes, transmission failures, exhaust systems rotting out, emissions system issues which can be very costly on some models.
Reply



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 09:02 PM.