I think Lexus 2006 sales will be about 325,000, up about 7%. The IS will be by far the biggest gainer. I believe that the new ES will launch in spring 2006 and the new LS will launch in fall 2006.

2005 Sales:

ES: 67,577
IS: 15,789
GS: 33,457
LS: 26,043
SC: 8,360

RX: 108,775
GX: 34,339
LX: 8,555

Total: 302,895


2006 Sales (prediction):

ES: 71,000
IS: 48,000
GS: 36,000
LS: 25,000
SC: 7,000

RX: 103,000
GX: 28,000
LX: 7,000

Total: 325,000

 

Wow, the erosion taking place is very evident on the old models! Makes sense though.

 

I think new IS can hit 50,000 plus if Lexus wants it to . . .

 

That will depend, at least partially, on how popular the new Chris Bangle 3-series is with former 3-Series owners. If they don't like the car a significant number of them may gravitate to either the IS or the Infiniti G35.

 

Yep, I think 50K is a strong possibility. Lets say around 4500 a month, thats 54000 on the year. Pretty damn good if ya ask me.

Crazy that the LS still sells 25K. Thats a lot of cars for such an expensive model.

 

25,000 LS's x $60,000 each---over $1.5 billion USD

 

Is it possible that the LS numbers will significantly go down (I'm guessing less than 15K), because the next-gen LS will arrive in October? Or will the numbers be relatively good (near 25k) because people will get excellent discounts on it?

How has "retiring" models sold in the past?

 

why did the predictions go down for some of the models?

 

Well if we look back at the previous generation GS and IS, we will notice sales decreases for probably the last 2 years of production. But the previous generation cars of both models havent been incredibly popular with consumers(but it just so happens that they are popular here ). I've heard people on here say that the first 2 years of production of these models were great, but sharply fell off after. Well with the LS, it has always been an outstanding seller. The current generation has seen increases just about every year except last year. Yes the model is at the end of its cycle, so a decrease will more than likely happen. As for 2006, more than likely even more of a decrease in sales(but a 10K decrease in sales I highly doubt and would be shocked if that happens). If you think about it, the new model will be introduced this fall(lets say October). They probably need a month and a half to two months to retool the entire plant for the new model(s), their might also be some sort of layover for a week, and also the winding down of the current model. So they will probably end production of the current LS maybe in June or July. That would be my best guess.

So for the first part of the year, sales of the LS might be down. Limited availabilty, lack of interest, Lexus enthusiasts like ourselves waiting for the new and improved model are all factors. But when the new model is introduced later in the year, sales will more than likely increase dramatically compared to 2005 leaving the LS year end sales probably around the 25K mark once again.

Just an educated guess.

 

Is this just your opinion or from another source?

 

Because some people will opt to buy a new gen IS instead of the current gen RX (example).

 

Just my opinion of course. If it was from another source, I would have cited to it.

 

Hmm, I can see RX sales going up, since the RX 350 will debut as well. It seems people just cannot get enough of this SUV. ES sales again will be solid, as it now is so well known, people buy it for top end entry level luxury.

IS sales will increase as production is ramped up. I can see 50k a year easy.
GS sales should remain flat, which would be good.
LS sales will decrease, its in its last model year.
GX sales will decrease as its in what, its 4th year of production?
SC sales are flat, it never was meant to sell more than 10k a year outside the 12k its first year.
LX sales are flat, its another Lexus not meant to be a volume seller.

Lexus has destroyed all sales expectations for anyone. 15 years ago, the top luxury marque was LUCKY to crack 100k a year (IMPORTS). 325k EXPENSIVE cars is a HUGE profit maker for Toyota.

Wow, who would have thought.


Does anyone REMEMBER the Lexus press release a few years ago when they said they would LIMIT sales as to not dilute the brand?

What a turn!

 

i see ... i thought there were other reasons...i also thought this was from a source

 

As did I.
LOL!