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Ford backing away from EV commitment.

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Old Aug 21, 2024 | 10:22 PM
  #31  
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
Tesla can't afford stagnation, it's probably one of the most punished stocks I've owned
Could be way worse look at Rivian, Nio, Lucid.... now that is pain.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 04:18 AM
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
Look at the record. GM built a highly successful EV, known as the EV1. Their owners loved it. Then GM literally stabbed them in the back and sabotaged their own success story.
the ev1's on the road were leased, and gm lost a fortune on every one. they only offered them for 3 years. the tech wasn't really there, the requirement to offer parts for years was going to cost a bundle, so they canned the project and crushed all the cars returned from lease. it wasn't 'highly successful' but it did have passionate fans.

good write-up in wikipedia.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Motors_EV1

Did the same thing with the Volt and now the Bolt.
volt was a better 'forrmula' but probably still lost money, and as you know, people wants suvs/cuvs so they did bolt, an even better formula, so i think they are making progress. i don't know what the blazer ev is like, but at least they keep trying.

As far as Jim Farley, he has the vision and I think his intentions are good, but I don't think he has the power to convince Ford investors that long term they are going to lose money and there will eventually be light at the end of the tunnel. It just doesn't work that way when it comes to giant corporate conglomerates like Ford and GM.
you probably have giant pension funds (and retirees directly) invested in supposedly 'stable' companies like ford and gm. they also rely on dividends. then came the big T disruption, lol.

It's not that a big corporation can't make a good electric car, they most definitely can, the Lightning is an amazing example, it's just that they waited until the 1th hour after seeing Tesla's Model 3 and Y not only becoming super popular, but highly profitable.
well the lightning did ship long before the cybertruck.

problem is, ford is probably losing $30k per truck!
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 04:49 AM
  #33  
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
He's a Porsche guy who daily drives a Prius
I just wanted to reflect on what a terribly sad statement this is.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 04:49 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna

ford has 177k employees. gm has 163k employees, and tesla has 100k.
while ford and gm may have more models and even more unit sales, they're not doing power storage products, and a ton of software.

because of the uaw, and the massive cost of pensions, healthcare for employees and retirees, ford and gm are financially trapped and also cannot innovate in automation and reducing staff needs the way tesla and other non-uaw companies can. ford's probably in worse shape than gm because they didn't restructure in the financial collapse as gm filed bankruptcy to jettison mountains of debt. even if ford and gm could innovate and reduce staffing needs they'd likely have to keep on paying the uaw workers to do nothing or pay a fortune to negotiate them out of the companies.
The UAW is not the culprit here....never was. What Ford and GM spend on employee salaries and pensions is pittance compared to the rest of their costs of doing buisness. In fact, most of the newer employees don't even get pensions any more.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 05:06 AM
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
I let my coworker drive my Y and he ordered one a month later over the protests of his wife, who's anti Elon. He's a Porsche guy who daily drives a Prius...or used to at least .
i know someone who had a bmw and went to a prius because it was trendy (guess what state he was living in ) AND i think he got some incentive from his employer. i think he suffered for about a year before he couldn't stand it anymore and got a porsche panamera.

now he's got a jeep phev.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 05:08 AM
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Originally Posted by mmarshall
The UAW is not the culprit here....never was. What Ford and GM spend on employee salaries and pensions is pittance compared to the rest of their costs of doing buisness. In fact, most of the newer employees don't even get pensions any more.
oh really...

GM says union labor deals will increase costs by $9.3 billion

... GM’s expected vehicle cost increase includes $500 per vehicle in 2024. Last month crosstown rival Ford estimated it would see additional costs of between $850 and $900 per vehicle assembled.
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/29/gm-l...ifor-cost.html

here's some productive uaw workers


Last edited by bitkahuna; Aug 22, 2024 at 05:13 AM.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 06:39 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
i know someone who had a bmw and went to a prius because it was trendy (guess what state he was living in ) AND i think he got some incentive from his employer. i think he suffered for about a year before he couldn't stand it anymore and got a porsche panamera.

now he's got a jeep phev.
those crazy Floridians…
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 07:37 AM
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Originally Posted by geko29
I just wanted to reflect on what a terribly sad statement this is.
Haha very true 😂. It's an older Prius on top of that. He bought a Y, but now his wife took it over, so he still mostly drives the Prius. Here's his Boxer BTW


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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 07:59 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
well the lightning did ship long before the cybertruck.

problem is, ford is probably losing $30k per truck!
But Farley got to say, "take that Elon" (look it up) much better than a long term strategy.

Shipping first to simply "own" your competitor is a horrible way to do business. Farley should have read Tesla's master plan that has been on their website for 18 years

Ship a low volume "pipe cleaner" vehicle designed from the ground up as an EV no slapping a battery pack into an existing chassis. Prove out the tech, allow the supply chain to mature greatly reduces losses due to low volume. Then scale up.

Hubris bit Farley in the *bleep*



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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 08:21 AM
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So hang on a minute. Tesla will be losing thousands per Cybertruck at the minute, just like with every new product.

these things don’t design and build themselves.

Ford breaks out the losses because they report separate financials for three separate divisions. These losses reflect restructuring costs, the development of new factories and more. And those losses carry forward and reduce future taxable income.

if Tesla did the same they would report losses on every truck sold.

let’s not distort reality here.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 08:41 AM
  #41  
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Cybertruck will turn a profit likely by the end of the year and guess why. Because Tesla went through the pain of scaling up, optimizing, vertically integrating and about 10,000 other necessary steps.
Originally Posted by swajames
So hang on a minute. Tesla will be losing thousands per Cybertruck at the minute, just like with every new product.
Model Y never lost money.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 08:55 AM
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Both Ford and Tesla each have their advantages and disadvantages. Tesla has been building EV's from the ground up at scale and has mastered everything from the supply chain to software and has the ability to bring costs under control quickly while scaling up manufacturing. Ford has the advantage of building electrifying one of the most popular work trucks that people love for over 100 years, they just have to figure out how to cut costs, build at scale and make a profit on it. One of the ways I think they could do it is break away their electrification division and spin it into a new company, but easier said than done, not sure if investors and the board would go along with that

Last edited by AMIRZA786; Aug 22, 2024 at 09:03 AM.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 08:56 AM
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Originally Posted by swajames
those crazy Floridians…
nice try, but that person was living in california during that time and they don't live in florida now either.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 09:11 AM
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Originally Posted by LeX2K
Cybertruck will turn a profit likely by the end of the year and guess why. Because Tesla went through the pain of scaling up, optimizing, vertically integrating and about 10,000 other necessary steps.

Model Y never lost money.
I highly doubt it on the CT, particularly at current volumes, and, respectfully, that could never have happened with the Y.
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Old Aug 22, 2024 | 09:29 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
nice try, but that person was living in california during that time and they don't live in florida now either.
So what may have been in play was HOV access. There was a time that Prius got HOV access here, and back when they did it was absolutely a benefit worth having.
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