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Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:12 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
not really. everything's a trade-off, extra range for some bed space. the bed will still have a lot of room, but maybe not 4x8 sheets of plywood unless angled up over the battery pack!
They could have done what GM did and offer a bigger battery pack, but this probably makes things easier to add more range
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:21 AM
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
You have to keep prices low and continue offering incentives if you want to sell more vehicles. I think as they continue to bring manufacturing costs down that number will start to rise up
more incentives means lower margins. Continue to bring manufacturing costs down? What is left? put window buttons in the screen? lol. In all seriousness, I thought Tesla was already operating extremely efficient? If credits gets removed I am not sure how they can sustain sales while keeping margins above 10%.
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:27 AM
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Originally Posted by Blaze876
more incentives means lower margins. Continue to bring manufacturing costs down? What is left? put window buttons in the screen? lol. In all seriousness, I thought Tesla was already operating extremely efficient? If credits gets removed I am not sure how they can sustain sales while keeping margins above 10%.
Why not 🤣

Q3 of last year their margins increased specifically due to lowering manufacturing costs. There are always ways of making things more efficient, and then there are material costs such as batteries that continue to go down.

Tesla has very real competition right now, I had no idea GM sold over 100k EV's last year. Hyundai sold over 44K Ioniq 5's. If they want to continue to compete with Hybrids, they are going to need to live with lower margins
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:31 AM
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
Why not 🤣

Q3 of last year their margins increased specifically due to lowering manufacturing costs. There are always ways of making things more efficient, and then there are material costs such as batteries that continue to go down.

Tesla has very real competition right now, I had no idea GM sold over 100k EV's last year. Hyundai sold over 44K Ioniq 5's. If they want to continue to compete with Hybrids, they are going to need to live with lower margins
And just to add on to this, the whole auto market is seeing a downturn. Toyota's profits are down 20 percent YoY. Bad times are coming for everyone
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:31 AM
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Originally Posted by Blaze876
more incentives means lower margins. Continue to bring manufacturing costs down? What is left? put window buttons in the screen? lol. In all seriousness, I thought Tesla was already operating extremely efficient? If credits gets removed I am not sure how they can sustain sales while keeping margins above 10%.
thanks for the cheerful assessment.

gross margins can always be under pressure when you're spending a ton on r&d - data centers, robots, batteries, roofs, superchargers, etc., as well as new models.

I assume the juniper y brought some efficiencies and cost reductions too with larger pressings and maybe using their simplified wiring/cables/connectors.

and with the chart not broken out by model it's not that helpful... I'm sure the cybertruck has cost Tesla a fortune in manufacturing costs and sounds like the volume (and probably margins) isn't that great.

Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:34 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
thanks for the cheerful assessment.

gross margins can always be under pressure when you're spending a ton on r&d - data centers, robots, batteries, roofs, superchargers, etc., as well as new models.

I assume the juniper y brought some efficiencies and cost reductions too with larger pressings and maybe using their simplified wiring/cables/connectors.

and with the chart not broken out by model it's not that helpful... I'm sure the cybertruck has cost Tesla a fortune in manufacturing costs and sounds like the volume (and probably margins) isn't that great.
^^ This^^

I actually wouldn't be sad if they completely dropped the Cyber Truck. The tech developed for it would definitely benefit future Tesla models
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:49 AM
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Originally Posted by AMIRZA786
Why not 🤣

Q3 of last year their margins increased specifically due to lowering manufacturing costs. There are always ways of making things more efficient, and then there are material costs such as batteries that continue to go down.

Tesla has very real competition right now, I had no idea GM sold over 100k EV's last year. Hyundai sold over 44K Ioniq 5's. If they want to continue to compete with Hybrids, they are going to need to live with lower margins
If that's the case for Q3 then why did Q4 see a large decline? IMO it seems like it was a one time savings or perhaps the Cybertruck foundation series skewed the numbers for Q3?

The competition as you mentioned is real, European sales seems to be in the gutter which is putting it lightly.


I knew quite a few here had said Musk being outspoken does not or has minimal effect on sales but with other EV manufacturers having growth or minimal decline compared to Tesla...what other reasons are there? is the line up not as good as the competition?
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:56 AM
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Originally Posted by Blaze876
If that's the case for Q3 then why did Q4 see a large decline?
could be the old models 3/Y ramp down and new models 3/Y ramp up.

The competition as you mentioned is real, European sales seems to be in the gutter which is putting it lightly.
europe has screwed themselves on ev's. they pushed the heck out of them but the cars are expensive (taxes) unless big tax incentives (which vary a lot), and electricity is EXPENSIVE in many countries there and public charging infrastructure varies greatly.

I knew quite a few here had said Musk being outspoken does not or has minimal effect on sales but with other EV manufacturers having growth or minimal decline compared to Tesla...what other reasons are there? is the line up not as good as the competition?
i think a ton was riding on the new Y which i bet many buyers were waiting for. they probably still have a lot of old Y inventory they'll have to blow out at little if any margin.
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Old Feb 5, 2025 | 09:59 AM
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The Musk effect is absolutely real. Just announced that Tesla sales in Germany fell 59% last month in a market that was up 54% for the month. I wonder why that might be?
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 10:04 AM
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Originally Posted by Blaze876
If that's the case for Q3 then why did Q4 see a large decline? IMO it seems like it was a one time savings or perhaps the Cybertruck foundation series skewed the numbers for Q3?

The competition as you mentioned is real, European sales seems to be in the gutter which is putting it lightly.


I knew quite a few here had said Musk being outspoken does not or has minimal effect on sales but with other EV manufacturers having growth or minimal decline compared to Tesla...what other reasons are there? is the line up not as good as the competition?
Well as Bit mentioned, Tesla has spent Billions on AI, Robotics, factories etc. As far as sales, These are the three things IMO that brought the numbers down: 1) Competition 2) sitting on the sidelines waiting for the Y refresh and 3) Dislike of Elon's politics. The last one definitely has impacted sales, but I think competition was more of a factor. But again, I'm not discounting dislike for Elon, I've talked to plenty of people who won't even entertain buying a Tesla because of their dislike of him
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 10:04 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
thanks for the cheerful assessment.

gross margins can always be under pressure when you're spending a ton on r&d - data centers, robots, batteries, roofs, superchargers, etc., as well as new models.

I assume the juniper y brought some efficiencies and cost reductions too with larger pressings and maybe using their simplified wiring/cables/connectors.

and with the chart not broken out by model it's not that helpful... I'm sure the cybertruck has cost Tesla a fortune in manufacturing costs and sounds like the volume (and probably margins) isn't that great.
This is automotive gross margin. Correct me if I am wrong but I believe a lot of what you listed is not included in the calculation.

For example, data centers, robots, roofs, superchargers are all separated from the calculation.
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 10:37 AM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
could be the old models 3/Y ramp down and new models 3/Y ramp up.



europe has screwed themselves on ev's. they pushed the heck out of them but the cars are expensive (taxes) unless big tax incentives (which vary a lot), and electricity is EXPENSIVE in many countries there and public charging infrastructure varies greatly.



i think a ton was riding on the new Y which i bet many buyers were waiting for. they probably still have a lot of old Y inventory they'll have to blow out at little if any margin.
As swajames mentioned, EV market is up 54% but Tesla sales is down 59% in Germany. I doubt taxes and electricity being expensive have anything to do with it or that would be reflected on the entire EV market not just Tesla.

IMO you're missing the forest for the trees. Tesla has been offering incentives more than ever in their history at some of the lowest prices for each model. Tesla made significant price cuts in 2022 and 2023 which is reflected in the graph margins. An entry level Model Y just 2 years ago was 67k. Its now at 45k? 33% decline ....that is hard to recoup in manufacturing efficiency.

Originally Posted by swajames
The Musk effect is absolutely real. Just announced that Tesla sales in Germany fell 59% last month in a market that was up 54% for the month. I wonder why that might be?
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 11:48 AM
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Over and above the decline in Germany, Tesla is down an even greater percentage in France, the second biggest EU market, and down in the UK, now the overall biggest European market.

Per Reuters:

”Tesla's UK sales fell nearly 12% in January, even as monthly EV registrations in Europe's biggest battery-electric market surged to a record, according to data published by New AutoMotive on Tuesday.

That follows a 63% decline in January sales for Tesla in France, drops of 44% and 38% in Sweden and Norway, and a 42% fall in the Netherlands. In California, the largest U.S. car market with more than 1.7 million vehicle registrations in 2024, Tesla sales fell by 12%.”

That sales are down in these locations is nothing to do with the cars, which are excellent.
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 11:59 AM
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Originally Posted by swajames
The Musk effect is absolutely real. Just announced that Tesla sales in Germany fell 59% last month in a market that was up 54% for the month. I wonder why that might be?
Originally Posted by Blaze876
As swajames mentioned, EV market is up 54% but Tesla sales is down 59% in Germany.
source for germany being up 54% for one month?

one month is not a trend.

I doubt taxes and electricity being expensive have anything to do with it or that would be reflected on the entire EV market not just Tesla.
i expect a lot of that had to do with model switchover.

IMO you're missing the forest for the trees. Tesla has been offering incentives more than ever in their history at some of the lowest prices for each model. Tesla made significant price cuts in 2022 and 2023 which is reflected in the graph margins. An entry level Model Y just 2 years ago was 67k. Its now at 45k? 33% decline ....that is hard to recoup in manufacturing efficiency.
Originally Posted by swajames
Over and above the decline in Germany, Tesla is down an even greater percentage in France, the second biggest EU market, and down in the UK, now the overall biggest European market.

Per Reuters:

”Tesla's UK sales fell nearly 12% in January, even as monthly EV registrations in Europe's biggest battery-electric market surged to a record, according to data published by New AutoMotive on Tuesday.

That follows a 63% decline in January sales for Tesla in France, drops of 44% and 38% in Sweden and Norway, and a 42% fall in the Netherlands. In California, the largest U.S. car market with more than 1.7 million vehicle registrations in 2024, Tesla sales fell by 12%.”

That sales are down in these locations is nothing to do with the cars, which are excellent.
i'm sure you two cheerleaders are right, tesla's going into the toilet and out of business soon.
Old Feb 5, 2025 | 12:13 PM
  #4575  
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found this (extremely biased and negative source - and after reading other articles of his recently, this jonathan gitlin clearly LOATHES tesla, current admin, etc).

https://arstechnica.com/cars/2025/02...omments-page=1

the comments section in particular is 100% VERY negative against musk.

i have to imagine at some point musk will find a new ceo for tesla. his focus seems to be govt, space, ai, x.



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