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Are Today's Vehicles REALLY That Expensive?

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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 03:09 PM
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Originally Posted by LexsCTJill
Sorry. When I used average I had meant median. I had assumed it was $50K....so $61K does not leave enough for a $1000/mo Camry and to pay it off under the warranty period.

Even in the low 60s income level (which is about the lowest median figure I've seen...the highest being near 100K), that still leaves room for almost two vehicles in the 35-36K (average price) range....close to where it was decades ago. True, housing costs have gone way up in a number of areas, so, if people aren't spending your income on vehicle, they are likely spending it on a mortgage or rent.
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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 05:50 PM
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Originally Posted by mmarshall
Even in the low 60s income level (which is about the lowest median figure I've seen...the highest being near 100K), that still leaves room for almost two vehicles in the 35-36K (average price) range....
And this is the exactly reason why most Americans are broke. A family with a pre-tax income of $62k (so more like $48k take-home after taxes and health insurance), can NOT afford two $36k cars, replaced every three years. This would literally mean spending more than half of the household budget on cars. That’s before housing, food, insurance, property taxes; plus insurance, fuel and maintenance for said cars, and all the other expenses that come along as a part of daily life.
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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 05:51 PM
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Car prices go up, but leases stay relatively cheap. Many people in NYC have higher monthly insurance payments than their car payments.
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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 06:08 PM
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Originally Posted by geko29
And this is the exactly reason why most Americans are broke. A family with a pre-tax income of $62k (so more like $48k take-home after taxes and health insurance), can NOT afford two $36k cars, replaced every three years. This would literally mean spending more than half of the household budget on cars. That’s before housing, food, insurance, property taxes; plus insurance, fuel and maintenance for said cars, and all the other expenses that come along as a part of daily life.
I don't necessarily disagree...but the purpose of the thread was to compare the cost of the vehicles themselves to average income today, not to include everything else with it. As I mentioned earlier, it is true that the average home and family spends a higher percentage of their income on rent or mortgage today. Decades ago, the general rule was one quarter (25%) of one's income on housing. Today, many people, simply out of necessity, have to pay 50% or more....even for dwellings that are less than mansions. And, yes, even if a vehicle is half of one's yearly income, that obviously means fewer newer cars....especially if one pays in cash, like I do, and does not finance it.
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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 06:37 PM
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My oldest car was $21,000 Canadian in 1987 inflation adjusted that's $41,700. A 2020 Camry V6 XLE in Canada is $42,000.
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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 07:27 PM
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Originally Posted by mmarshall
Fast-forward to today, at the start of the 2020s. According to salary-explorer, the average salary in the U.S. this year is $94,700...which would seem like a lot, though inflation has driven up the cost of everything we buy along with it, and eroded its value.

http://www.salaryexplorer.com/salary...=229&loctype=1

Or has it?
Website looks fake. A website created by UAE to report only on US salary with completely false data.
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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 07:33 PM
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Originally Posted by nosurprise
Website looks fake. A website created by UAE to report only on US salary with completely false data.

Perhaps so....but, IMO, still a good thread-discussion of what vehicles, today, cost in comparison to income. Income, of course, also varies quite a bit across the U.S. In my part of the country, for instance, one can notice an enormous difference in living standards between the D.C. area and just an hour or two to the west, in eastern WV.
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Old Oct 5, 2020 | 08:17 PM
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Originally Posted by mmarshall
Perhaps so....but, IMO, still a good thread-discussion of what vehicles, today, cost in comparison to income. Income, of course, also varies quite a bit across the U.S. In my part of the country, for instance, one can notice an enormous difference in living standards between the D.C. area and just an hour or two to the west, in eastern WV.
According to the US Census, the US median household income was $42,148 in year 2000, and $68,703 in 2019. According to Autotrader, a Camry 4dr Sdn XLE V6 Auto was MSRP $26,198 in 2000, and $34,300 in 2019.

In 2000, the car price was 62% of household income and in 2019 was 50%. In 2010, it was 59% of household income. By that metric, the Camry XLE V6 prices are getting cheaper relative to household income.

With reliable data sources, you can do the same math for all the cars that you're interested in and for different years to see if it's general trend for the car industry.

https://www.census.gov/library/publi...o/p60-213.html
https://www.autotrader.com/toyota/camry/2000
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Old Oct 6, 2020 | 02:03 AM
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Overall most ppl can afford a much better and safer car now compared to 50yrs ago.

The quality of life even for the poorest Americans has never been higher. People now also have many ways to generate passive income that did not even exist before because of new tech, globalization, Internet etc.

Cars in America also remain much cheaper and more affordable compared to rest of the world. Finance tools like leasing allow ppl to acquire expensive cars for a relatively low monthly payment. This is possible primarily due to our great financial system which most other countries lack.
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Old Oct 6, 2020 | 03:54 AM
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Originally Posted by Och
Car prices go up, but leases stay relatively cheap. Many people in NYC have higher monthly insurance payments than their car payments.
That's perhaps the best way to look at it; you can argue whether or not cars are comparatively cheaper than 50 years ago and do all your calculations on salaries and inflation etc. I don't think you can argue that they haven't become more affordable as manufacturers look for more and more creative finance packages/leases to get you into a new vehicle.
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Old Oct 7, 2020 | 09:15 AM
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Well, how about this?

My 1997 LS400 when new sold for $53K. Median household income in 1997 was $37K (70% of the price of the LS).

Today's LS sells for $76K and median household income is now $68K, which is 90% of the price. Seems to me that Lexus sedans have gotten relatively more affordable.
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Old Oct 7, 2020 | 09:34 AM
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Originally Posted by mmarshall


One of the things that is most-often-complained about today's vehicles is the high sticker-prices....which, yes, in terms of absolute dollars, has probably never been higher.

But, to understand the true effect of today's prices, one must look at it in terms of inflation, the true value of a dollar today, and how much vehicle you actually get for your dollar spent. I'm not an economist, but common sense would dictate that the more of your yearly salary (or income) you spend on a vehicle, the less of a bargain it becomes. Or, you could spend less, and actually get more vehicle (the Korean brands, IMO, are very good at that). Or, unfortunately, you could spend even more, and get even less vehicle (which, IMO, describes some lower-level Mercedes products).

Decades ago, in the 1960s, when I was growing up, the average American compact car (before options) started around $2000, mid-sized cars around $2500, full-size/low-priced cars (Ford/Chevy/Plymouth)around $2800-3000, full-sized/medium-priced cars (Buick/Chrysler/Mercury, Oldsmobile, etc...) around $4000-$4500, and full-sized luxury/prestige cars (Lincoln/Cadillac/Imperial) $5000-6000. Inflation was low in the first part of the decade, but more robust inflation in the late 60s pushed both incomes and vehicle-prices up somewhat....with even bigger jumps to come in the 1970s. The average price of the average vehicle, going out the door, back then, was around $3000-3500...and the average yearly income was around $7000 or so. So, the average American vehicle, back then, cost about half of the average American median income....although some vehicles did not last as long as those of today, and the typical engine, except for some Chrysler and Chevy designs, wore out around 80,000-90,000 miles or so, occasionally reaching 100,000 miles with good care and some luck. So, people, on average, also traded in their vehicles sooner. I use mostly data for American vehicles back then because, with the exception of the air-cooled VW Beetle and some British sports cars, imports were not a large factor.

Fast-forward to today, at the start of the 2020s. According to salary-explorer, the average salary in the U.S. this year is $94,700...which would seem like a lot, though inflation has driven up the cost of everything we buy along with it, and eroded its value.

http://www.salaryexplorer.com/salary...=229&loctype=1

Or has it?

When it comes to vehicles, many people naturally assume today that we pay more and get less. I would argue that, when taking inflation into account, although this is sometimes true, on average, it is not. Remember, back then, one paid about $3500 or so for an average vehicle the the average salary was maybe $7000. Today, the average transaction-price of a new vehicle (whether American-brand or import) runs in the mid-30s, while the average salary is 94K. That means that, instead of two average vehicles a year, the average wage-earner can buy almost three. Not only that, the vehicles of 50 years ago lacked many of the safety and comfort/convenience we take today for granted....which increases the value of today's vehicles even more.

Of course, vehicle prices alone don't necessarily determine if our salaries are going further today than they did half-century ago, as in some parts of the country, housing costs are unreasonably high, even considering the widespread near-six-figure salaries today. (Unfortunately, my region is one of them....I'm fortunate enough not to have to concern myself with a mortgage). So, today, unlike back in the 1960s, if we aren't spending a large part of our income on a vehicle, we're spending it on rent or mortgage instead....or putting our kids through outrageously-priced colleges....or paying for the enormous costs of health-insurance.



So, of course, there is probably no one set answer to the OP question if today's vehicles actually ARE more expensive, compared to what you get, than half a century ago. But, if one takes the simple comparison of the average vehicle price to average income, in a direct comparison to back then, I would say the answer is no.

MM
what you said about technology is the most important point. You can't look at inflation or salary vs. car cost because today's cars are so much advanced vs. 40 years ago. ABS brakes? Air bags? LED lights? Safety features? The technology is so far advanced today that price comparisons over periods of time are practically impossible.
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Old Oct 7, 2020 | 09:59 AM
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The rate cars depreciate is so fast that cars are going to be the worst investment you will ever make. It boils down to how much disposable income you're willing to throw away for a vehicle to get you around for basic needs and transportation.

In the PANDEMIC era, the need for vehicles have increased (avoiding public transit, safer travel options) and decreased due to increased work from home options.

That said, a $1000/month car sitting on your driveway or in garage for less than 500 miles per month means your car cost has doubled or tripled for what you're getting out of it. They say the average pre-pandemic monthly miles was about 1k or 1.5k miles per month, or 12-15k yearly. What's the point in throwing away all this $$ plus insurance and gas when you're not using it.

Anything over $30k is wasting your $$ in a few short years. That $65k BMW, Audi or Range Rover now becomes valued at $30k in 3-4 short years just because of time, and you've just saved $30k! You will not recoup much gains on the car values with fewer miles on the car due to driving it less.

There are the buyers who can throw $$ around as disposable income. Good for them. It's not a sound practice for buyers who have their income sucked up by other distractions such as college tuition bills, mortgage, phone, cable/internet, and dining/eating out.

Cars have maintenance costs and most people do not have the resources to suck up a $1k premium or luxury car service bill every 10k miles. Maybe the better question is how much of a maintenance surprise can they afford? The latest I've heard is people are downsizing to the least number of cars they need during this pandemic. 3 or more cars are collectively a waste of $$ and depreciation. It puts today's cars very overpriced unless you're going to put some serious miles on it where it costs you less than $1 per mile to use the vehicle. Stupid buyers are there for the taking to buy new when they think of their purchase/lease in monthly expense terms... Got $10k income or more per month and want to throw away10% (or 20% or 25%) to cars that wont get much miles on it? Go ahead. Chances are you will not have it 2-3 years longer than the lease or loan is up and you're $40-50k+ poorer for it.

Those who really can afford the expensive cars are the ones who have close to no debt, built up a decent retirement, ready for something to enjoy in 'style' after working 30+ years (and hard $$ earned), and have capability to pay full cash on the vehicle. As an added perk, if you have a business permitting you to deduct car expenses per mile -- go for it. There is an 'expensive' car market to make you happy.



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Old Oct 7, 2020 | 10:06 AM
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I'm just thankful there are people making enough money (or think they make enough money) to afford higher end cars so that I can buy them used after depreciation hits. Beyond the idea of showing stature by getting a new car, I feel tech / safety is what is selling cars and increasing the cost of new cars. As much as I would like to think people care about performance numbers and the engineering of cars, most don't. R.I.P. GS...
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Old Oct 7, 2020 | 10:51 AM
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Originally Posted by Hotboy1
My 1997 LS400 when new sold for $53K. Median household income in 1997 was $37K (70% of the price of the LS).
Today's LS sells for $76K and median household income is now $68K, which is 90% of the price. Seems to me that Lexus sedans have gotten relatively more affordable.
exactly.

i remember my loaded new 1994 acura legend gs was $38K out the door. not exactly a top of the line car, but still a lot of money to me at least.

Originally Posted by All4Lexus
The rate cars depreciate is so fast that cars are going to be the worst investment you will ever make.
looking at a car as an 'investment' is absurd though. cars are transportation + art + fun, but a long way from investment except for a VERY tiny portion of all cars made (classic porsches and ferraris, etc., and even though require expensive maintenance to keep them running).

It boils down to how much disposable income you're willing to throw away for a vehicle to get you around for basic needs and transportation.
you're entitled to your point of view that a car is a 'basic need and transportation' but for millions it's WAY more than that, it's a passion, a hobby, something to be enjoyed and appreciated. want basic need and transportation? take the bus or train.

That said, a $1000/month car sitting on your driveway or in garage for less than 500 miles per month means your car cost has doubled or tripled for what you're getting out of it.
true. i'm probably driving only 50% as many miles right now vs. last year. my leased car is costing more in terms of usage, but if i choose to buy it out of the lease at the end, i may make on the deal.

Anything over $30k is wasting your $$ in a few short years.
why $30k? why not anything over $5K?

That $65k BMW, Audi or Range Rover now becomes valued at $30k in 3-4 short years just because of time, and you've just saved $30k!
no you haven't! if you get that $65K car 3-4 years later for $30K you've got a 3-4 year old car with warranty that's run out or about to run out (unless you buy another or it's got some CPO coverage). you've got a vehicle with 3-4 year old features and missing new features. you've likely got stone chips and worn seats. but for many i get it, that's not important, and their self-congratulating that they "saved" $35K makes them very happy. good for them. not for me. i traded in my 'owned' new Jeep last time for a lease on my current car, and because of the value of the jeep the payments on my lease are low. since the car comes with all maintenance included i've paid NOTHING out of pocket besides the lease payment and gas. i could self-congratulate too, that i get to drive a car from new that's pretty high end for not much money, but not going to, because it's all just a numbers game. it's clear that if someone doesn't care about cars and just wants transportation, they could buy a used plain vehicle like a honda or toyota, or ford truck and drive it into the ground. definitely the least expensive way to go. does involve some inconvenience when things break and the vehicle has to be in the shop to get fixed, but even with big repair bills, it's still likely to be far and away the cheapest way to go. but i, and millions of others, actually like and appreciate cars, the innovation, new features, ever-improving quality and materials, so i don't drive a beater like that.

everyone's circumstances are different though. i will likely have 2 cars next year, one for work, and one for play. the play car is a 'waste of money' to many, but that's just their opinion. some people play golf, fly planes, travel to exotic places, is that all a waste of money too?

There are the buyers who can throw $$ around as disposable income. Good for them. It's not a sound practice for buyers who have their income sucked up by other distractions such as college tuition bills, mortgage, phone, cable/internet, and dining/eating out.
agreed most have trade-offs. of your list eating out is hardly necessary though.

Cars have maintenance costs and most people do not have the resources to suck up a $1k premium or luxury car service bill every 10k miles.
that's why my first lease experience has been appealing. no maintenance cost to worry about. and because i don't own it, i really don't even care if something goes wrong.

Stupid buyers are there for the taking to buy new when they think of their purchase/lease in monthly expense terms...
hey we can do without insults like that please.

Those who really can afford the expensive cars are the ones who have close to no debt, built up a decent retirement, ready for something to enjoy in 'style' after working 30+ years (and hard $$ earned), and have capability to pay full cash on the vehicle. As an added perk, if you have a business permitting you to deduct car expenses per mile -- go for it. There is an 'expensive' car market to make you happy.
stereotyping much? there's an endless set of circumstances out there... and that 'decent retirement' isn't guaranteed, you could drop dead later today (hope not!)

Originally Posted by GS350L
Beyond the idea of showing stature by getting a new car, I feel tech / safety is what is selling cars and increasing the cost of new cars.
that's true... for many a car is like an iphone... gotta get a new one every few years. when you drive around affluent suburban developments you rarely see 'old' cars... the "keeping up with the Jones'" is well played out.
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