$10 a Galllon in the US, a possiblity?
#46
Lexus Test Driver
the 'problem' is that the price of oil isnt truly set by the market. sure, the futures market can reprice oil temporarily but over any significant length of time that essentially will not hold. the suppliers are limited to the point where its essentially a monopoly. against that, the world needs oil, and when you look at it- $100/bl on crude is still cheap.
#47
Lexus Champion
i'im about to trade my jeep for a dodge cummins turbo diesel. it will tow better than my jeep and i can run vegetable oil as fuel. no damn prius or other tiny junk for me, i'll be commuting in a 3/4 ton truck with almost free fuel that gets 20mpg. screw the hybrids and all that crap, it's just a way to keep taking our money. wvo conversion's are the way to go. no more dependence on foreign oil for me except when i want ot drive on weekends.
#48
Former Vendor
iTrader: (3)
i'im about to trade my jeep for a dodge cummins turbo diesel. it will tow better than my jeep and i can run vegetable oil as fuel. no damn prius or other tiny junk for me, i'll be commuting in a 3/4 ton truck with almost free fuel that gets 20mpg. screw the hybrids and all that crap, it's just a way to keep taking our money. wvo conversion's are the way to go. no more dependence on foreign oil for me except when i want ot drive on weekends.
I have a few friends who own small restaurants and enough spare time to make the fuel but it seems like a pretty serious investment to buy all the materials needed to make the fuel and i'd hate to pay $4 a gallon for diesel if I can't refill at my house.
#49
Lexus Fanatic
iTrader: (20)
The riots, the crime, and not just in one city, the economy and not just in your neighborhood.
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/glance/cv2.htm
If you're just judging by news stories, that's meaningless. The 24x7 media must have stories to fill the time and there's plenty of police blotters to find gruesome stores making people think everything has gotten so much worse (when it hasn't). And the police are getting BETTER at their jobs. Studies have shown that so much crime went unreported or not handled in the past compared to today. Part of this progress is increased empowerment of women, a wonderful thing.
Gas is guaranteed to climb to $5.00 very shortly (months?) says practically every economist minus Fox news.
Food? Did you miss all of the rioting?
Sorry, but the world is facing a few problems and all is not rosy.
As I said before, we have an alignment of a burst housing bubble (to quote Greenspan, irrational exuberance!), increased global oil demand with no credible U.S. energy policy, and massive govt overspending and taxing - ALL CAUSED BY THE U.S. GOVERNMENT. And guys like Obama and Clinton want to make it WORSE by MORE regulation and MORE overspending and taxation. "We're the govt and we're here to help..."
These are causing real hardships for many, I realize. People putting off buying new rims for their Lexus though does not qualify.
Of course many things eventually will get better-just not at this moment. Nothing wrong with being realistic about the problems we face as I would rather take a few steps now to be prepared vs following the herd if and when the message is very clear at a later time.
There were many economists (plus a few on this board) as recently as early last year that said future housing issues were overblown and that the housing market would not be impacted. We know better now.
#50
Lexus Fanatic
iTrader: (20)
Oh and Lee I forgot to comment on some of those quotes you added...
The UN comments about riots and food shortages, well I guess we can thank Al Gore and his pals for that trying to stop growth, encouraging using food for energy and other irrational screeds.
About wheat shortages... your quote says this was due to bad harvests but it says production fell from 624 to 600 - gee that's a 3.8% drop - hardly a catastrophe??? Again, newsmakers saying the sky is falling.
But ah, the real reason:
Al Gore, being the bloated carnivorous tick that he is, would do so much better trying to convince the world to eat less meat than yammering about cars and light bulbs.
Regardless, this problem isn't the fault of the U.S.! Much of the rest of the world is actually becoming more prosperous and wants to eat/live like the West which increases demands on all kinds of things. This is ultimately GOOD for trade, but of course can cause temporary shortages. But again, of course, newsmakers can only report the bad, and the UN predictably uses it as a reason to demand more money...
Just as 'global warming' was changed to 'climate change' so the media and interested parties could scream every time ANYTHING happens with the weather, we could call the current period "economic change" and its 'disastrous' effects.
The UN comments about riots and food shortages, well I guess we can thank Al Gore and his pals for that trying to stop growth, encouraging using food for energy and other irrational screeds.
About wheat shortages... your quote says this was due to bad harvests but it says production fell from 624 to 600 - gee that's a 3.8% drop - hardly a catastrophe??? Again, newsmakers saying the sky is falling.
But ah, the real reason:
Booming populations and a switch to a meat-rich diet in the developing world also mean that about 110m tons of the world’s annual wheat crop is being diverted to feed livestock.
Regardless, this problem isn't the fault of the U.S.! Much of the rest of the world is actually becoming more prosperous and wants to eat/live like the West which increases demands on all kinds of things. This is ultimately GOOD for trade, but of course can cause temporary shortages. But again, of course, newsmakers can only report the bad, and the UN predictably uses it as a reason to demand more money...
Just as 'global warming' was changed to 'climate change' so the media and interested parties could scream every time ANYTHING happens with the weather, we could call the current period "economic change" and its 'disastrous' effects.
#51
Lexus Fanatic
iTrader: (20)
If gas prices are 2x what they were less than 5 years ago, are we using twice as much gas? Sales of SUVs may have jumped, cars may have much more hp than they used to, but that's an enormous price jump. I can't believe its all supply/demand. If gas use doubled in 5 years, how would production keep up without shortages?
As for supply, OPEC has regulated supply in their own interests. They COULD easily supply more oil than they do which would ease prices, but they don't. They have the world held for ransom.
#52
...well thats not how it works, despite what a lot of people say it's not a supply/demand market. in your example the price is just reset. the futures market can do what it wants but the futures market does not determine the price of oil over any major term
#53
when i was a broke college kid gas was 0.55. geez i'm old
#54
Lexus Fanatic
iTrader: (2)
Paul
Housing issues were only slightly caused by over speculation, most were were caused by Greenspans policies or lack of . Not Clinton, not Bush, but the runaway banking system which wiggled a lollipop in front of every American in offering them a $500,000 loan with no docs.
Point is as you pick apart every single line of my posts, it that there is nothing wrong with people getting prepared for a long recession which many already believe we are in whether you want to believe anyone else other than yourself is irrelevant. If you choose to ignore all of signs because your source for the news counters every economic indicator (would you like examples of that too?) is of course your choice. Do you really believe the economy is fine?
Bringing up links to old crime statistics means little to this discussion as many of the increased issues we now face have reared itself just in the last few days because we have an administration that is completely out of touch with the American people and continues it's arrogant policies of ignoring the needs of the people to pursue it's own agenda-mainly Iraq.
A nation cannot spend a trillion dollars on a war and not expect there to be some economic consequence to the people of that nation and yet at the same time blame a person (Gore ) on the state of not only this country but for others when he was never even elected. Sound like a scapegoat excuse to me.
Did it ever cross your mind that perhaps there are other intelligent people in this world that believe equally in their opinions on how we reached this point? If Americans and other nations want to believe in Gore then that is certainly their choice to do and if a great many people choose this course then perhaps a nation would wake up and understand the needs of the people instead of blaming the media for everything.
Putting people to work as you put it is much more complicated than that, and living off of $8.00 an hour in California is simply going to take the economy far. I would think that it applies to Florida as well where housing is just as bad as it is in California.
Housing issues were only slightly caused by over speculation, most were were caused by Greenspans policies or lack of . Not Clinton, not Bush, but the runaway banking system which wiggled a lollipop in front of every American in offering them a $500,000 loan with no docs.
Point is as you pick apart every single line of my posts, it that there is nothing wrong with people getting prepared for a long recession which many already believe we are in whether you want to believe anyone else other than yourself is irrelevant. If you choose to ignore all of signs because your source for the news counters every economic indicator (would you like examples of that too?) is of course your choice. Do you really believe the economy is fine?
Bringing up links to old crime statistics means little to this discussion as many of the increased issues we now face have reared itself just in the last few days because we have an administration that is completely out of touch with the American people and continues it's arrogant policies of ignoring the needs of the people to pursue it's own agenda-mainly Iraq.
A nation cannot spend a trillion dollars on a war and not expect there to be some economic consequence to the people of that nation and yet at the same time blame a person (Gore ) on the state of not only this country but for others when he was never even elected. Sound like a scapegoat excuse to me.
Did it ever cross your mind that perhaps there are other intelligent people in this world that believe equally in their opinions on how we reached this point? If Americans and other nations want to believe in Gore then that is certainly their choice to do and if a great many people choose this course then perhaps a nation would wake up and understand the needs of the people instead of blaming the media for everything.
Putting people to work as you put it is much more complicated than that, and living off of $8.00 an hour in California is simply going to take the economy far. I would think that it applies to Florida as well where housing is just as bad as it is in California.
#55
Lexus Champion
Yep, this is what i'm thinking too. diesel truck = my friend.
I have a few friends who own small restaurants and enough spare time to make the fuel but it seems like a pretty serious investment to buy all the materials needed to make the fuel and i'd hate to pay $4 a gallon for diesel if I can't refill at my house.
I have a few friends who own small restaurants and enough spare time to make the fuel but it seems like a pretty serious investment to buy all the materials needed to make the fuel and i'd hate to pay $4 a gallon for diesel if I can't refill at my house.
boom, no more dependence on foreign oil, no more being held ransom by stock traders and oil companies, no more being worried about having to drive a pos little pod to work every day. i'll be cruisng to work in a 3/4 ton dodge, burning wvo and still getting 20 mpg!
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xknowonex
CL of Southern California
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05-04-11 09:36 PM