LS - 4th Gen (2007-2017) Discussion topics related to the current flagship models LS460, LS460L and LS600H

2015 LS lease question

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 02-04-16, 12:16 AM
  #1  
lamborarri
Driver School Candidate
Thread Starter
 
lamborarri's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: CT
Posts: 15
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default 2015 LS lease question

Today I went to local Lexus dealer, I'm interested in the RCF and LS460 Craftedline. Nothing too special, just wanna try sth new.
I got an offer for the remaining 2015 LS460 Craftedline, here's the number. Is it a good deal?

MSRP $90k
Down $3000
30k miles / 36 months
Monthly payment $1180/month
My local tax is 7.75% btw.

Thank you for your input.
Old 02-04-16, 09:38 AM
  #2  
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
 
SW17LS's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Maryland
Posts: 55,610
Received 2,520 Likes on 1,818 Posts
Default

Find out a couple specifics for us.

What is the price they are selling you the car for?

What is the money factor?

What is the residual?

What are the drive off costs being wrapped in/included in the downpayment?

When you just look at a lease based on payment you're always going to get screwed.
Old 02-04-16, 11:27 AM
  #3  
Dr. Jekyll
Lexus Champion
iTrader: (1)
 
Dr. Jekyll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Hawaii
Posts: 1,742
Received 28 Likes on 25 Posts
Default

Hold on, they're pricing a brand new 2015 Crafted for $90k? And 30k miles a years or for the 3 years? Seems either low at 10k a year or way too high at 30k a year. But then again I don't know how far you live from work, how many other cars you drive etc. I personally wouldn't "rent" a new LS for $1,200 a month but that's just me.
Old 02-04-16, 11:37 AM
  #4  
ryanSC300lover
Lead Lap
iTrader: (1)
 
ryanSC300lover's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: CA
Posts: 3,750
Received 86 Likes on 66 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Dr. Jekyll
Hold on, they're pricing a brand new 2015 Crafted for $90k? And 30k miles a years or for the 3 years? Seems either low at 10k a year or way too high at 30k a year. But then again I don't know how far you live from work, how many other cars you drive etc. I personally wouldn't "rent" a new LS for $1,200 a month but that's just me.
It's a 30k mile 36 month lease

Which translates to 10k miles a year
Old 02-04-16, 01:35 PM
  #5  
Dr. Jekyll
Lexus Champion
iTrader: (1)
 
Dr. Jekyll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Hawaii
Posts: 1,742
Received 28 Likes on 25 Posts
Default

I don't think that's a good deal. If you're looking to get into a Lexus just buy a used one and by the end of three years you will be able sell it for more than the remaining balance and those should be around $950 a month if you have great credit. Otherwise you're just renting it for $1,200 a month with no intention to buy out the lease.
Old 02-04-16, 03:27 PM
  #6  
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
 
SW17LS's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Maryland
Posts: 55,610
Received 2,520 Likes on 1,818 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Dr. Jekyll
I don't think that's a good deal. If you're looking to get into a Lexus just buy a used one and by the end of three years you will be able sell it for more than the remaining balance and those should be around $950 a month if you have great credit. Otherwise you're just renting it for $1,200 a month with no intention to buy out the lease.
Lets not get into a lease vs buy thing here. He's looking for advice about the lease he was offered and whether its a good deal or not. Buying a used one or whatever is an entirely different thing.

As for the lease, the $90k for a 15 Crafted MSRP is right, what we need to know is what is the dealer discounting the car to. That discount should be AT LEAST $10,000, and probably more. When I got my 15 in May of 15 I got $10,000 off, and that was on a car with an MSRP of only $80k.

A quick look at the lease rates posted on edmunds leads me to believe that deals are not nearly as good as they were when I leased mine in May. The latest MF I'm seeing is .00120 which isn't great and 55% residual which is typical for this car. My MF was .0009 if I remember correctly.

I did a calculation for you, assuming a $90k MSRP, an $80k purchase price, .0012 MF, 55% residual, $1,500 in fees rolled in ($700 acquisition, $300 tags, $500 processing), $2,000 down ($3,000 total down but that includes your first payment, so only $2,000 down towards the payments), 7.75% taxes paid per payment (may or may not be that way in your state)...payment I get is $1,064.71. Thats pretty damn close for not knowing what the actual residual, MF or sales price is.

I would say actually thats an okay deal.

Old 02-04-16, 03:43 PM
  #7  
Dr. Jekyll
Lexus Champion
iTrader: (1)
 
Dr. Jekyll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Hawaii
Posts: 1,742
Received 28 Likes on 25 Posts
Default

It's not a lease vs. buy, I only illustrated that based on the numbers a purchase would make more sense because if it's a lease where he doesn't intend on buying it then the money factor doesn't matter as much. I think he's have to consider it like renting and if that's the case $1,200 a month is at a 15k mile rate and what I would expect to see is a deal in the $900 range with $3,000 down to be attractive. But that's just comparing what I've seen here locally. If he's leasing a $80k car then $1,200 for only 10k a year seems much higher than comparable leases.

Originally Posted by SW15LS
Lets not get into a lease vs buy thing here. He's looking for advice about the lease he was offered and whether its a good deal or not. Buying a used one or whatever is an entirely different thing.

As for the lease, the $90k for a 15 Crafted MSRP is right, what we need to know is what is the dealer discounting the car to. That discount should be AT LEAST $10,000, and probably more. When I got my 15 in May of 15 I got $10,000 off, and that was on a car with an MSRP of only $80k.

A quick look at the lease rates posted on edmunds leads me to believe that deals are not nearly as good as they were when I leased mine in May. The latest MF I'm seeing is .00120 which isn't great and 55% residual which is typical for this car. My MF was .0009 if I remember correctly.

I did a calculation for you, assuming a $90k MSRP, an $80k purchase price, .0012 MF, 55% residual, $1,500 in fees rolled in ($700 acquisition, $300 tags, $500 processing), $2,000 down ($3,000 total down but that includes your first payment, so only $2,000 down towards the payments), 7.75% taxes paid per payment (may or may not be that way in your state)...payment I get is $1,064.71. Thats pretty damn close for not knowing what the actual residual, MF or sales price is.

I would say actually thats an okay deal.

Old 02-04-16, 03:54 PM
  #8  
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
 
SW17LS's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Maryland
Posts: 55,610
Received 2,520 Likes on 1,818 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Dr. Jekyll
It's not a lease vs. buy, I only illustrated that based on the numbers a purchase would make more sense because if it's a lease where he doesn't intend on buying it then the money factor doesn't matter as much. I think he's have to consider it like renting and if that's the case $1,200 a month is at a 15k mile rate and what I would expect to see is a deal in the $900 range with $3,000 down to be attractive. But that's just comparing what I've seen here locally. If he's leasing a $80k car then $1,200 for only 10k a year seems much higher than comparable leases.
Why would the money factor not matter if he's not going to buy it at the end? The money factor and the residual are two of the most important terms of any lease, the lease payment is calculated off of the residual, the cap cost (purchase price) and the money factor (interest rate). Buying it at the end is an entirely different discussion. The MF is vital when discussing any lease.

Its like renting because it is renting, thats all leasing is. If you're going to buy it at the end you should generally buy it from the onset.

You can't compare payments that you see advertised, those leases are ultra low mileage, they usually have a ton down plus they require fees and taxes and all down on top of the huge amount down.

You're not going to get a $90,000 car for less than $1,000 down when the residuals are like they are and a MF of .0012. Look at my calculation above, the math is the math, with $10,000 off the price the payment I calculated is $1,070. I could be a % or 2 off on the residual and that would be the difference between $1,070 and $1,170.

If you financed the $80,000, plus 7.75% taxes which equals $6,200, with $3k down at 1.9% the payment is $1,455...the difference is $300 a month in cashflow.

These big sedans don't lease out like a GS or a 5 Series.
Old 02-04-16, 04:12 PM
  #9  
Dr. Jekyll
Lexus Champion
iTrader: (1)
 
Dr. Jekyll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Hawaii
Posts: 1,742
Received 28 Likes on 25 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by SW15LS
Why would the money factor not matter if he's not going to buy it at the end? The money factor and the residual are two of the most important terms of any lease, the lease payment is calculated off of the residual, the cap cost (purchase price) and the money factor (interest rate). Buying it at the end is an entirely different discussion. The MF is vital when discussing any lease.

Its like renting because it is renting, thats all leasing is. If you're going to buy it at the end you should generally buy it from the onset.

You can't compare payments that you see advertised, those leases are ultra low mileage, they usually have a ton down plus they require fees and taxes and all down on top of the huge amount down.

You're not going to get a $90,000 car for less than $1,000 down when the residuals are like they are and a MF of .0012. Look at my calculation above, the math is the math, with $10,000 off the price the payment I calculated is $1,070. I could be a % or 2 off on the residual and that would be the difference between $1,070 and $1,170.

If you financed the $80,000, plus 7.75% taxes which equals $6,200, with $3k down at 1.9% the payment is $1,455...the difference is $300 a month in cashflow.

These big sedans don't lease out like a GS or a 5 Series.
Oh I get the money factor is calculated into the cost hence the higher payment as the car is expected to depreciate quickly vs. a GS/ES/IS otherwise it would be lower. I was just going off the actual payment as a value proposition. Hope that makes sense. I wasn't bothering breaking it all down.
Old 02-04-16, 04:16 PM
  #10  
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
 
SW17LS's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Maryland
Posts: 55,610
Received 2,520 Likes on 1,818 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Dr. Jekyll
Oh I get the money factor is calculated into the cost hence the higher payment as the car is expected to depreciate quickly vs. a GS/ES/IS otherwise it would be lower. I was just going off the actual payment as a value proposition. Hope that makes sense. I wasn't bothering breaking it all down.
The money factor doesn't have anything to do with depreciation. Its simply the interest charge on the money lent for the lease. The residual is what varies depending on depreciation.

One of the quirks about comparing say an LS lease to a GS lease. The GS has really high residuals but resale values on the GS are actually quite poor, which means that at the end of the lease you're likely to be upside down, but the payments are really low compared to the vehicle's cost.

On the LS, they're less aggressive with the lease residuals so at the end its more likely they you will have some equity in the lease....but the payments are higher.
Old 02-04-16, 04:18 PM
  #11  
Dr. Jekyll
Lexus Champion
iTrader: (1)
 
Dr. Jekyll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Hawaii
Posts: 1,742
Received 28 Likes on 25 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by SW15LS
The money factor doesn't have anything to do with depreciation. Its simply the interest charge on the money lent for the lease. The residual is what varies depending on depreciation.

One of the quirks about comparing say an LS lease to a GS lease. The GS has really high residuals but resale values on the GS are actually quite poor, which means that at the end of the lease you're likely to be upside down, but the payments are really low compared to the vehicle's cost.

On the LS, they're less aggressive with the lease residuals so at the end its more likely they you will have some equity in the lease....but the payments are higher.
Okay fair enough, makes sense to me.
Old 02-04-16, 04:26 PM
  #12  
Rhambler
Lexus Test Driver
 
Rhambler's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: CA
Posts: 1,302
Received 16 Likes on 15 Posts
Default

I was able to negotiate $6k off of MSRP like nothing. Kind of wish I pressed for more.
Old 02-04-16, 11:24 PM
  #13  
lamborarri
Driver School Candidate
Thread Starter
 
lamborarri's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: CT
Posts: 15
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

Thank you all for the help guys!

Today I asked them again, they said the selling price is $12k off. I have not yet asked for discount or anything yet. Sounds lots of discount to start with, they even have 2 of them exactly the same, look like they stuck with them.

Maybe if I punch them a little bit, I can get somewhere close to $1k a month easy.
Old 02-05-16, 04:03 AM
  #14  
Rhambler
Lexus Test Driver
 
Rhambler's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: CA
Posts: 1,302
Received 16 Likes on 15 Posts
Default

Good luck!

Post pictures, including the Tumi bags that comes with the car.
Old 02-05-16, 06:23 AM
  #15  
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
 
SW17LS's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Maryland
Posts: 55,610
Received 2,520 Likes on 1,818 Posts
Default

You need to find out the residual and the money factor. At 12k off the payments don't calculate right.

My guess is they are inflating the money factor to get profit back.


Quick Reply: 2015 LS lease question



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 11:10 AM.