GS - 3rd Gen (2006-2011) Discussion about the 2006+ model GS300, GS350, GS430, GS450H and GS460

Will the long 2006 model year for the GS hurt resale value?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 02-23-05, 12:30 PM
  #1  
Sam Khoury
Lead Lap
Thread Starter
 
Sam Khoury's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: New York
Posts: 648
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default Will the long 2006 model year for the GS hurt resale value?

This may seem like a silly question to be asking at this point but the 2006 GS will be available for about a year and a half, from now (February 2005) until September 2006 when the 2007 should come out. This means that Lexus will probably produce way more 2006 GS's than in a normal model year. Does anybody think this will hurt resale value?
Old 02-23-05, 12:44 PM
  #2  
flipside909
Lexus Connoisseur
 
flipside909's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: USA
Posts: 19,801
Received 531 Likes on 280 Posts
Default

Lexus vehicles historically have great resale value, so it's highly unlikely the Gen 2 GS' value will suffer. Obviously there is depreciation for any vehicle, but Lexus vehicles have always had a good record of high resale values.
Old 02-23-05, 12:51 PM
  #3  
CK6Speed
Super Moderator
iTrader: (1)
 
CK6Speed's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: HI
Posts: 7,719
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 1 Post
Default

I think it depends on what Lexus adds to the new 07 model. I'm in the same boat with my 04 RX330 which came out in March 2003 as an 04 model. Now I'm a little annoyed that the 05 got bluetooth. If I were one in the used RX330 market I would skip the 04 and get an 05. Not just because of the bluetooth but because they probably have all the bugs worked out by the 2nd year. All 1st year runs no matter what brand will suffer just a bit in resale compared to the 2nd run. Think about it. For my 04 RX330 there was at least 1 recall, 1 more potential recall. and about 34 TSBs. Most of those problems should be fixed in the 05. We can't predict what potential problems might come up with the 06 GS, but more than likey the 07 will have most of it solved by then. That alone makes the 06 depreciate more than the rest of the run IMHO.
Old 02-23-05, 12:52 PM
  #4  
Sam Khoury
Lead Lap
Thread Starter
 
Sam Khoury's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: New York
Posts: 648
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

I actually meant the resale value of the 2006 GS's specifically. If in the future I'm out there looking for a 2006 GS and there is a ton of supply, won't that lower the price?
Old 02-23-05, 12:55 PM
  #5  
flipside909
Lexus Connoisseur
 
flipside909's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: USA
Posts: 19,801
Received 531 Likes on 280 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Sam Khoury
I actually meant the resale value of the 2006 GS's specifically. If in the future I'm out there looking for a 2006 GS and there is a ton of supply, won't that lower the price?
I highly doubt it. Plus it's too early to tell. The car hasn't "officially" hit it's release date of March 1.
Old 02-23-05, 12:55 PM
  #6  
LexFather
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Originally Posted by Sam Khoury
I actually meant the resale value of the 2006 GS's specifically. If in the future I'm out there looking for a 2006 GS and there is a ton of supply, won't that lower the price?
Lexus has stated they want to triple current GS sales which I think was about 7-8k a year I think?

Lexus won't try to hurt resale value, they know how important it is to a luxury car/brands image and how important it is to a buyer. Its a big facet of buying a luxury car.

So the answer is no.
Old 02-23-05, 12:57 PM
  #7  
CK6Speed
Super Moderator
iTrader: (1)
 
CK6Speed's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: HI
Posts: 7,719
Likes: 0
Received 2 Likes on 1 Post
Default

Originally Posted by Sam Khoury
I actually meant the resale value of the 2006 GS's specifically. If in the future I'm out there looking for a 2006 GS and there is a ton of supply, won't that lower the price?
I think it is hard to say, but if the 06 does indeed have a much larger pool to choose from, that give you as a buyer more power since you can simply move on to another GS if the one you are looking at is priced too high. So, in a way, I think the more supply the buyer has the advantage, so it probably will lower the market value of the car, but maybe not so much the resale/blue book value. Remember, what the blue book says the value of the car is one thing, but what the market will bear is more importent IMHO.
Old 02-23-05, 01:15 PM
  #8  
Sam Khoury
Lead Lap
Thread Starter
 
Sam Khoury's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: New York
Posts: 648
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

Originally Posted by 1SICKLEX
Lexus has stated they want to triple current GS sales which I think was about 7-8k a year I think?

Lexus won't try to hurt resale value, they know how important it is to a luxury car/brands image and how important it is to a buyer. Its a big facet of buying a luxury car.

So the answer is no.
I'm sure the 2nd generation GS sales have fallen off the last couple of years because it's been around since 1998 (8 model years if you include 2005) so for Lexus to say they want to triple current GS sales doesn't really say that much when the current sales are so low. I know when I got my 2002 GS300, the number of GS430 coming in from Japan per month was very small. I'd love to see the sales numbers for the second generation GS from 1998 to 2005. If I had to guess, sales probably peaked in 2000 or 2001 and slowly went down since then.
Old 02-23-05, 01:28 PM
  #9  
LexFather
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Originally Posted by Sam Khoury
I'm sure the 2nd generation GS sales have fallen off the last couple of years because it's been around since 1998 (8 model years if you include 2005) so for Lexus to say they want to triple current GS sales doesn't really say that much when the current sales are so low. I know when I got my 2002 GS300, the number of GS430 coming in from Japan per month was very small. I'd love to see the sales numbers for the second generation GS from 1998 to 2005. If I had to guess, sales probably peaked in 2000 or 2001 and slowly went down since then.
I agree Sam, well aware of this. Lexus sold I think 31k GSs in 1998 followed by 30k the following year and 26k in 2000. The first 3 years are fairly strong. The 2GS was also cheaper than it is now, maybe why Lexus projections are down some for the new car.

Looking for sales numbers, I listed them before, have to go find.
Old 02-23-05, 01:32 PM
  #10  
LexFather
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Code:
 	December 1998  	Year-End 1998
LS 400: 	1,615 	20,790
GS 400: 	747 	9,926
GS 300: 	2,293 	20,696
ES 300: 	4,823 	48,644
SC 400: 	69 	1,243
SC 300: 	148 	1,766
LX 450/470: 	1,458 	11,004
RX 300: 	5,696 	42,191
Total Lexus: 	16,849 	156,260
Old 02-23-05, 01:33 PM
  #11  
LexFather
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Code:
Dec. 1999  	1999 Total
LS 400 	742 	16,357
ES 300 	3,877 	45,860
GS 400 	413 	6,894
GS 300 	2,171 	24,990
SC 400 	48 	826
SC 300 	88 	1,731
RX 300 	7,834 	73,498
LX 470 	1,692 	15,734
TOTAL 	16,865 	185,890
Old 02-23-05, 01:35 PM
  #12  
dseag2
Lexus Champion
 
dseag2's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: TX
Posts: 4,662
Received 15 Likes on 13 Posts
Default

Look at it this way...

You will have a car that is current for a year and a half instead of the usual year.
Old 02-23-05, 01:40 PM
  #13  
LexFather
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Code:
toyota  Retail  Sales
(includes Fleet & Hawaii)
December, 2001

             ----- Current Month --        -- Calendar Year To Date --
                               Dsr %                       Dsr %
               2001    2000    Chg       2001      2000    Chg
Echo          2,505   3,450   -27.4    42,464    48,876   -13.1
Corolla      16,491  13,820    19.3   245,023   230,156     6.5
Celica        1,852   2,580   -28.2    35,720    52,406   -31.8
Supra             0       1  -100.0         3         2    50.0
Camry        33,106  36,811   -10.1   390,449   422,961    -7.7
Avalon        5,724   6,899   -17.0    83,005   104,078   -20.2
Mr2 Spyder      368     478   -23.0     6,254     7,233   -13.5
Prius         1,780   1,134    57.0    15,556     5,562   179.7
Total Toyota Div. 
 Pass. Car   61,826  65,173    -5.1   818,474   871,274    -6.1

Es 300        5,961   3,531    68.8    44,847    41,320     8.5
Ls 430        2,365   2,940   -19.6    31,110    15,871    96.0
Sc 300            0       8  -100.0         7       450   -98.4
Sc 430        1,498       2 74800.0    14,326       181  7814.9
Gs 300        1,662   1,908   -12.9    19,848    21,921    -9.5
Gs 430          293     499   -41.3     4,613     6,158   -25.1
Is 300        1,738   2,147   -19.0    22,486    15,540    44.7
Total Lexus Passenger 
 Car         13,517  11,035    22.5   137,237   101,441    35.3
Old 02-23-05, 01:43 PM
  #14  
LexFather
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

I cannot find year 2000 for NOTHING. But amazingly, seems it had to be a strong year. The 98/99 had 30k sales, 2001 with 25k sales. I did not know that about the later year.
Code:
TOYOTA  RETAIL  SALES
(INCLUDES FLEET & HAWAII)
December, 2003

              ----- CURRENT MONTH -----           -- CALENDAR YEAR TO DATE --
                                     DSR %                             DSR %
                  2003       2002    CHG          2003         2002    CHG

ECHO               339      2,384    -86.3     26,167       30,859     -15.2
COROLLA         19,712     19,610     -3.3    325,477      254,360      28.0
CELICA             813      1,227    -36.3     14,856       22,893     -35.1
CAMRY           29,818     31,009     -7.5    413,296      434,145      -4.8
AVALON           3,311      4,898    -35.0     50,911       69,029     -26.2
MR2 SPYDER         171        241    -31.8      2,934        4,705     -37.6
PRIUS            4,025      1,790    116.2     24,627       20,119      22.4
SCION xA           420        -         --      3,962          -          --
SCION xB           865        -         --      6,936          -          --
TOTAL TOYOTA DIV. 
 PASS. CAR      59,474     61,159     -6.5    869,166      836,110       4.0

ES 300           6,762      7,188     -9.5     65,762       71,450      -8.0
LS 430           3,087      2,171     36.7     23,895       26,261      -9.0
SC 430             673      1,032    -37.3     10,298       14,462     -28.8
GS 300           1,027      1,402    -29.6     11,228       14,788     -24.1
GS 430             150        238    -39.4      2,078        2,458     -15.5
Old 02-23-05, 01:45 PM
  #15  
LexFather
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Hmm, seems Lexus slowed down production for 2004
Sell-down of the GS mid-luxury sports sedans continued on schedule with 8,262 units sold.
Code:
TOYOTA  RETAIL  SALES
(INCLUDES FLEET & HAWAII)
December, 2004

                       ----- CURRENT MONTH ----        -- CALENDAR YEAR TO DATE --
                                            DSR %                            DSR %
                           2004     2003    CHG          2004        2003    CHG

ECHO                       306      339   -13.1        3,899      26,167   -85.1
COROLLA                 26,408   19,712    29.0      333,161     325,477     2.0
CELICA                     494      813   -41.5        8,710      14,856   -41.6
CAMRY                   35,032   29,818    13.1      426,990     413,296     3.0
AVALON                   2,876    3,311   -16.4       36,460      50,911   -28.6
MR2 SPYDER                 121      171   -31.9        2,621       2,934   -11.0
PRIUS                    6,287    4,025    50.4       53,991      24,627   118.5
SCION xA                 2,000      420   358.6       24,184       3,962   508.4
SCION xB                 3,827      865   326.0       47,013       6,936   575.6
SCION tC                 4,859        0 -             28,062           0 -
TOTAL TOYOTA DIV. 
 PASS. CAR              82,210   59,474    33.1      965,091     869,166    10.7
ES 330                   8,496    6,762    21.0       75,916      65,762    15.1
LS 430                   3,460    3,087     7.9       32,272      23,895    34.6
SC 430                     829      673    18.6        9,708      10,298    -6.0
GS 300                     734    1,027   -31.2        6,914      11,228   -38.6
GS 430                     102      150   -34.5        1,348       2,078   -35.3
IS 300                     671      939   -31.2        9,972      13,559   -26.7
TOTAL LEXUS 
  PASS. CAR             14,292   12,638     8.9      136,130     126,820     7.0


Quick Reply: Will the long 2006 model year for the GS hurt resale value?



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 01:27 AM.